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Bootstrap inference in a linear equation estimated by instrumental variables

Author

Listed:
  • Russell Davidson

    (GREQAM - Groupement de Recherche en Économie Quantitative d'Aix-Marseille - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - AMU - Aix Marseille Université - ECM - École Centrale de Marseille - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, CIREQ - Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, Department of Economics [Montréal] - McGill University = Université McGill [Montréal, Canada])

  • James Mackinnon

    (Department of Economics - Queen's University [Kingston, Canada])

Abstract

We study several tests for the coefficient of the single right-hand-side endogenous variable in a linear equation estimated by instrumental variables. We show that writing all the test statistics—Student's t, Anderson-Rubin, the LM statistic of Kleibergen and Moreira (K), and likelihood ratio (LR)—as functions of six random quantities leads to a number of interesting results about the properties of the tests under weakinstrument asymptotics. We then propose several new procedures for bootstrapping the three non-exact test statistics and also a new conditional bootstrap version of the LR test. These use more efficient estimates of the parameters of the reduced-form equation than existing procedures. When the best of these new procedures is used, both the K and conditional bootstrap LR tests have excellent performance under the null. However, power considerations suggest that the latter is probably the method of choice.

Suggested Citation

  • Russell Davidson & James Mackinnon, 2009. "Bootstrap inference in a linear equation estimated by instrumental variables," Working Papers halshs-00442713, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:halshs-00442713
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-00442713
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    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General
    • C30 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - General

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