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Weather shocks and migration in South Asia: Evidence from Bangladesh
[Chocs climatiques et migrations en Asie du Sud : Le cas du Bangladesh]

Author

Listed:
  • Loukas Sfountouris

    (UP1 UFR02 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - École d'économie de la Sorbonne - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne)

Abstract

What weather shock drives migration in Bangladesh? A recent household survey from Bangladesh sheds light on identifying the effect of climatic anomalies on the likelihood of migration and in particular, internal migration. Combining migration with climatic data, this paper analyzes the direct impact of weather shocks on household members' probability to migrate internally. The main findings confirm that an additional weather shock increases the probability of migration by 9.74 percent, on average, 24 months after the additional shock occured. However, this effect is increasing when poor households respond more than wealthier households, when controlling for income. Also, households that receive remittances except home is significant and positive, in the presence of an additional SPEI shock, identifying a potential adaptation strategy mechanism. The results are robust for internal migration and significantly positive for rural-to-rural and urban-to-urban migration.

Suggested Citation

  • Loukas Sfountouris, 2022. "Weather shocks and migration in South Asia: Evidence from Bangladesh [Chocs climatiques et migrations en Asie du Sud : Le cas du Bangladesh]," Working Papers hal-04401881, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-04401881
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-04401881
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    JEL: O15 O53 R23 Q56; Environmental migration; Weather shocks; South Asia; Bangladesh; Chocs climatiques; Migration environnementale; Asie du Sud;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O15 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration
    • O53 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Asia including Middle East
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population
    • Q56 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environment and Development; Environment and Trade; Sustainability; Environmental Accounts and Accounting; Environmental Equity; Population Growth

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