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Halving mineral nitrogen use in European agriculture: insights from multi-scale land-use models
[Réduire de moitié l'utilisation de l'azote minéral dans l'agriculture européenne : aperçu des modèles multi-échelles d'utilisation des sols]

Author

Listed:
  • Anna Lungarska

    (US ODR - Observatoire des Programmes Communautaires de Développement Rural - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement)

  • Thierry Brunelle

    (CIRED - Centre International de Recherche sur l'Environnement et le Développement - Cirad - Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - AgroParisTech - ENPC - École des Ponts ParisTech - Université Paris-Saclay - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, Cirad-ES - Département Environnements et Sociétés - Cirad - Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement)

  • Raja Chakir

    (UMR PSAE - Paris-Saclay Applied Economics - AgroParisTech - Université Paris-Saclay - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement)

  • Pierre-Alain Jayet

    (UMR PSAE - Paris-Saclay Applied Economics - AgroParisTech - Université Paris-Saclay - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement)

  • Rémi Prudhomme

    (CIRED - Centre International de Recherche sur l'Environnement et le Développement - Cirad - Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - AgroParisTech - ENPC - École des Ponts ParisTech - Université Paris-Saclay - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, Cirad-ES - Département Environnements et Sociétés - Cirad - Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement)

  • Stéphane de Cara

    (UMR PSAE - Paris-Saclay Applied Economics - AgroParisTech - Université Paris-Saclay - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement)

  • Jean-Christophe Bureau

    (UMR PSAE - Paris-Saclay Applied Economics - AgroParisTech - Université Paris-Saclay - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement)

Abstract

In this paper, we explore the effects of a public policy that reduces by 50% the use of mineral nitrogen in European agriculture. We use two techno-economic models to investigate the impacts on agricultural production, prices, and land use changes at the EU and global levels. Results show that halving synthetic fertilizer use leads to a decrease in agricultural production, a substantial increase in nitrogen use efficiency, and lower use of organic fertilizer. More importantly, we show that the results will critically depend on the potential for supply side adjustment, particularly, regarding the expansion of cropland area.

Suggested Citation

  • Anna Lungarska & Thierry Brunelle & Raja Chakir & Pierre-Alain Jayet & Rémi Prudhomme & Stéphane de Cara & Jean-Christophe Bureau, 2022. "Halving mineral nitrogen use in European agriculture: insights from multi-scale land-use models [Réduire de moitié l'utilisation de l'azote minéral dans l'agriculture européenne : aperçu des modèle," Working Papers hal-03761774, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-03761774
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-03761774
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    1. Rémi Prudhomme & Raja Chakir & Anna Lungarska & Thierry Brunelle & Narayanappa Devaraju & Nathalie de Noblet & Pierre-Alain Jayet & Stéphane De Cara & Jean-Christophe Bureau, 2022. "Food, climate and biodiversity: a trilemma of mineral nitrogen use in European agriculture," Review of Agricultural, Food and Environmental Studies, Springer, vol. 103(3), pages 271-299, September.

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    agriculture; land use; nitrogen pollution; trade; environment.; Environment;
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