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Debt, seigniorage, and the Growth Laffer Curve in developing countries

Author

Listed:
  • Hélène Ehrhart

    (Banque de France - Banque de France - Banque de France)

  • Alexandru Minea

    (CERDI - Centre d'Études et de Recherches sur le Développement International - UdA - Université d'Auvergne - Clermont-Ferrand I - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Patrick Villieu

    (LEO - Laboratoire d'Économie d'Orleans [UMR7322] - UO - Université d'Orléans - UT - Université de Tours - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

The endogenous growth literature established the existence of an inverted-U curve between taxes and economic growth, namely a Growth Laffer Curve, but empirical evidence on this relationship in developing countries is rather limited. Given that seigniorage and public debt are also important means of financing public spending in these countries, we take into account in this paper their respective impacts on growth, as they might deform the existing relationship between taxes and growth. To this end, we develop a growth model with public investment as the engine of perpetual growth, and look for the effect of debt, tax and money financing on economic growth. We study in particular the way fiscal and monetary policies deform the Growth Laffer Curve in developing countries. An empirical section based on a panel of 100 developing countries over the period 1980–2010 provides both OLS-Fixed Effects and GMM-system estimations that support our theoretical conclusions, namely the existence of Growth Laffer Curves indexed by the levels of debt and of seigniorage.

Suggested Citation

  • Hélène Ehrhart & Alexandru Minea & Patrick Villieu, 2014. "Debt, seigniorage, and the Growth Laffer Curve in developing countries," Post-Print halshs-01413444, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-01413444
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    Cited by:

    1. Maryjane Chigbo & Oluwatosin Adeniyi & Samuel Orekoya, 2020. "Econometric analysis of the deficit financing options-growth inclusiveness nexus in India and Nigeria," Indian Economic Review, Springer, vol. 55(2), pages 313-338, December.
    2. Yutaka KURIHARA, 2015. "Debt and Economic Growth: The Case of Japan," Journal of Economics Library, EconSciences Journals, vol. 2(2), pages 45-52, June.
    3. Broni, Mohammed Yaw & Masih, Mansur, 2017. "Does a country’s external debt level affect its Islamic banking sector development? evidence from Malaysia based on quantile regression and markov regime switching," MPRA Paper 79758, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Lin, Boqiang & Jia, Zhijie, 2019. "Tax rate, government revenue and economic performance: A perspective of Laffer curve," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 1-1.
    5. Apeti, Ablam Estel & Combes, Jean-Louis & Minea, Alexandru, 2023. "Inflation targeting and the composition of public expenditure: Evidence from developing countries," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    6. Thien Hao Van & Van Cuong Hoang, 2018. "Determine the External Debt Threshold of the Southeast Asian Countries: Analysis Using Laffer Curve?," Economy of region, Centre for Economic Security, Institute of Economics of Ural Branch of Russian Academy of Sciences, vol. 1(3), pages 1038-1045.
    7. Abdulfatai Adekunle Adedeji, 2025. "Threshold effects of tax on economic growth: evidence from Africa," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 5(6), pages 1-33, June.
    8. Víctor I Espinosa & David O Cueva, 2024. "The political economy of fiscal dominance: Evidence from the Chilean government of Salvador Allende," Economic Affairs, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(1), pages 118-138, February.
    9. Abdulfatai Adekunle Adedeji & Mutiu Abimbola Oyinlola & Oluwatosin Adeniyi, 2024. "Public debt, tax and economic growth in Sub-Saharan African countries," Journal of Social and Economic Development, Springer;Institute for Social and Economic Change, vol. 26(3), pages 992-1058, December.
    10. Juraj Gazda & Viliam Kováč & Peter Tóth & Peter Drotár & Vladimír Gazda, 2017. "Tax optimization in an agent-based model of real-time spectrum secondary market," Telecommunication Systems: Modelling, Analysis, Design and Management, Springer, vol. 64(3), pages 543-558, March.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E63 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy
    • H62 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Deficit; Surplus

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