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The size of the cliff at the border

Author

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  • Simone Bertoli

    () (CERDI - Centre d'Études et de Recherches sur le Développement International - UdA - Université d'Auvergne - Clermont-Ferrand I - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Jesús FernÁndez-Huertas Moraga

    (IAE - Department of Economic Analysis, Francisco Tomás y Valiente - UAM - Universidad Autonoma de Madrid)

Abstract

The scale of international migration flows depends on moving costs that are, in turn, influenced by host-country policies. This paper shows how to estimate the influence of policies upon bilateral migration flows to multiple destinations.We rely on a Poisson pseudo-maximum likelihood estimator to derive estimates that are consistent under more general distributional assumptions on the underlying RUM model than the ones commonly adopted in the literature.We derive bounds for the estimated direct and indirect effects of migration policies that reflect the uncertainty connected to the use of aggregate data, and we show that bilateral migration flows can be highly sensitive to the immigration policies set by other destination countries, an externality that we are able to quantify.

Suggested Citation

  • Simone Bertoli & Jesús FernÁndez-Huertas Moraga, 2015. "The size of the cliff at the border," Post-Print halshs-01273223, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-01273223
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr/halshs-01273223
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    International migration ; Migration policies ; Visa policies ; Multiple destinations ; Externalities;

    JEL classification:

    • F22 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Migration
    • O15 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration
    • J61 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers

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