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قياس أثر المتغيرات النقدية على سعر صرف الدينار الجزائري مقابل الدولار الأمريكي 74-2012

Listed author(s):
  • Abd El Lattif Messitfa


    (LAQSEF, Univ-Ouargla, Alger - Université Kasdi Merbah Ouargla (ALGERIA))

  • Mohamed Zergoune


    (LAQSEF, Univ-Ouargla, Algeria - Université Kasdi Merbah Ouargla (ALGERIA))

  • Abd El Kader Meerad


    (LAQSEF, Univ-Ouargla, Algeria - Université Kasdi Merbah Ouargla (ALGERIA))

يهدف هذا البحث إلى تحليل اثر كل من: المستوى العام للأسعار(CPI)، الأرصدة النقدية الحقيقية (RM) وسعر الخصم (DR)على سعر صرف الدينار الجزائري مقابل الدولار الأمريكي(ER) خلال الفترة الممتدة من سنة 1970 إلى غاية 2012، وذلك باستخدام نموذج التعديل الجزئي. النتائج أظهرت بأن المتغير الوحيد الذي يؤثر على سعر صرف الدينار هو المستوى العام للأسعار، وان مرونة سعر الصرف طويلة الأجل بالنسبة لهذا المتغير أكبر من المرونة قصيرة الأجل، إضافة إلى ذلك فان المسار الزمني لسعر الصرف يستوفي شرط استقرار التوازن.

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Paper provided by HAL in its series Post-Print with number halshs-01056121.

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Date of creation: 01 Jun 2014
Publication status: Published in El-Bahith Review, 2014, pp.57-69
Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-01056121
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