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Getting used to terrorist threats? Evidence from French terrorist attacks between 2015 and 2016

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  • Sylvie Blasco

    (GAINS - Groupe d'Analyse des Itinéraires et des Niveaux Salariaux - UM - Le Mans Université, IZA - Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit - Institute of Labor Economics)

  • Eva Moreno‐galbis

    (AMSE - Aix-Marseille Sciences Economiques - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - AMU - Aix Marseille Université - ECM - École Centrale de Marseille - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Jeremy Tanguy

    (IREGE - Institut de Recherche en Gestion et en Economie - USMB [Université de Savoie] [Université de Chambéry] - Université Savoie Mont Blanc)

Abstract

This paper evaluates the effect on mental health of consecutive terrorist attacks in France in 2015 and 2016. We compile information about the three main terrorist attacks that struck France over this period and assess whether the potential effect on mental health (i.e., depression) of a terrorist attack is smoothed once people consider terrorist attacks as "the new normality." We exploit data from the French Constances epidemiological survey and combine an event study strategy with a difference-in-difference approach to compare before-after changes in mental health the year of the attack with the same changes the year before. We show that the negative effect of a terrorist attack on mental health decreases over time from one attack to another, and disappears completely for the last attack. Socio-demographic composition of the sample, geographical or socio-demographic proximity to the victims or media exposure do not arise as factors responsible for this changing effect of terrorist attacks on mental health.

Suggested Citation

  • Sylvie Blasco & Eva Moreno‐galbis & Jeremy Tanguy, 2022. "Getting used to terrorist threats? Evidence from French terrorist attacks between 2015 and 2016," Post-Print hal-03516257, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03516257
    DOI: 10.1002/hec.4465
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://amu.hal.science/hal-03516257
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Henning Finseraas & Ola Listhaug, 2013. "It can happen here: the impact of the Mumbai terror attacks on public opinion in Western Europe," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 156(1), pages 213-228, July.
    2. Andrew E. Clark & Orla Doyle & Elena Stancanelli, 2017. "The Impact of Terrorism on Well-being: Evidence from the Boston Marathon Bombing," Working Papers 201717, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
    3. Robert Metcalfe & Nattavudh Powdthavee & Paul Dolan, 2011. "Destruction and Distress: Using a Quasi‐Experiment to Show the Effects of the September 11 Attacks on Mental Well‐Being in the United Kingdom," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 121(550), pages 81-103, February.
    4. Tsai, Alexander C. & Venkataramani, Atheendar S., 2015. "Communal bereavement and resilience in the aftermath of a terrorist event: Evidence from a natural experiment," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 155-163.
    5. Dongyoung Kim & Young‐I1 Albert Kim, 2018. "Mental health cost of terrorism: Study of the Charlie Hebdo attack in Paris," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 1-14, January.
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    Cited by:

    1. Daniel Meierrieks & Max Schaub, 2024. "Terrorism and child mortality," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(1), pages 21-40, January.
    2. Betul Turkum, 2023. "The Effect of Mass Migration on Economic Development," AMSE Working Papers 2332, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.

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    Keywords

    difference-in-difference; event study; mental health; terrorism;
    All these keywords.

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