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Networks and migrants’ intended destination

Author

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  • Simone Bertoli

    () (CERDI - Centre d'Études et de Recherches sur le Développement International - Clermont Auvergne - UCA - Université Clermont Auvergne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Ilse Ruyssen

    (UCL - Université Catholique de Louvain)

Abstract

Social networks are known to influence migration decisions, but connections between individuals remain usually unobserved. Surveys conducted by Gallup in 147 countries provide information on migration intentions and on distance-one connections in each destination. The distribution of distance-one connections mirrors the one of migrant stocks, and intentions are informative about actual decisions. The estimation of originspecific conditional logit models reveals that distance-one connections can alter the ranking of most pairs of destinations. We test the validity of the distributional assumptions that underlie identification and perform extensive robustness checks, thus mitigating the concerns about the threats to identification posed by unobservables.

Suggested Citation

  • Simone Bertoli & Ilse Ruyssen, 2018. "Networks and migrants’ intended destination," Post-Print hal-01798143, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01798143
    DOI: 10.1093/jeg/lby012
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01798143
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    Cited by:

    1. Manchin, Miriam & Orazbayev, Sultan, 2018. "Social networks and the intention to migrate," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 360-374.
    2. Docquier, Frédéric & Tansel, Aysit & Turati, Riccardo, 2017. "Do emigrants self-select along cultural traits? Evidence from the MENA countries," MPRA Paper 82778, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Michal burzynski & Christoph Deuster & Frédéric Docquier, 2018. "The Geography of Talent: Development Implications and Long-Run Prospects," Discussion Papers (IRES - Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales) 2018002, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).
    4. Böhme, Marcus H. & Gröger, André & Stöhr, Tobias, 2020. "Searching for a better life: Predicting international migration with online search keywords," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    5. Krieger, Tim & Renner, Laura & Schmid, Lena, 2019. "Where do migrants from countries ridden by environmental conflict settle? On the scale, selection and sorting of conflict-induced migration," Discussion Paper Series 2019-03, University of Freiburg, Wilfried Guth Endowed Chair for Constitutional Political Economy and Competition Policy.
    6. Riccardo Turati, 2020. "Network-based Connectedness and the Diffusion of Cultural Traits," Discussion Papers (IRES - Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales) 2020012, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).
    7. Docquier, Frédéric & Tansel, Aysit & Turati, Riccardo, 2017. "Do emigrants self-select along cultural traits? Evidence from the MENA countries," MPRA Paper 82778, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Marco Delogu & Frédéric Docquier & Joël Machado, 2018. "Globalizing labor and the world economy: the role of human capital," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 23(2), pages 223-258, June.
    9. Frédéric Docquier & Aysit Tansel & Riccardo Turati, 2017. "Do Emigrants Self-Select Along Cultural Traits? Evidence from the MENA Countries," CESifo Working Paper Series 6777, CESifo.
    10. Simone Bertoli & Frédéric Docquier & Hillel Rapoport & Ilse Ruyssen, 2020. "Weather Shocks and Migration Intentions in Western Africa: Insights from a Multilevel Analysis," CESifo Working Paper Series 8064, CESifo.
    11. Dao, Thu Hien & Docquier, Frédéric & Parsons, Chris & Peri, Giovanni, 2018. "Migration and development: Dissecting the anatomy of the mobility transition," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 88-101.
    12. Jackline Wahba & Ishac Diwan & Michele Tuccio, 2017. "Diaspora Networks as a Bridge between Civilizations," Working Papers 1094, Economic Research Forum, revised 05 Nov 2017.
    13. Smith, Michael D. & Floro, Maria S., 2020. "Food insecurity, gender, and international migration in low- and middle-income countries," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    14. Simone BERTOLI, 2019. "Weather shocks and migration intentions in Western Africa: Insights from a multilevel analysis," Working Paper c5999d24-4da2-42c5-8c94-e, Agence française de développement.
    15. Michel Beine & Joël Machado & Ilse Ruyssen, 2019. "Do potential migrants internalise migrant rights in OECD host societies?," CREA Discussion Paper Series 19-07, Center for Research in Economic Analysis, University of Luxembourg.
    16. Burzynski, Michal & Deuster, Christoph & Docquier, Frédéric, 2020. "Geography of skills and global inequality," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    17. Ruyssen, Ilse & Salomone, Sara, 2018. "Female migration: A way out of discrimination?," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 224-241.
    18. Mauro Lanati & Alessandra Venturini, 2017. "The Import of “cultural goods” and emigration: an unexplored relation," RSCAS Working Papers 2017/24, European University Institute.
    19. Pollermann, Kim, 2016. "Refugees and rural development: Chances from migration and challenges of integration," EconStor Conference Papers 148648, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    International migration; migration intentions; Gallup World Polls;

    JEL classification:

    • F22 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Migration

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