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The Few Leading the Many: Foreign Affiliates and Business Cycle Comovement

Author

Listed:
  • Jörn Kleinert

    (University of Graz)

  • Julien Martin

    (UQAM - Université du Québec à Montréal)

  • Farid Toubal

    (ENS Cachan - École normale supérieure - Cachan, CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne - UP1 - Université Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

This paper argues that the correlation of business cycles across countries is largely due to linkages between multinational firms and their foreign affiliates. There are very few foreign affiliates in France, but they contribute considerably to aggregate economic activities. We exploit the heterogeneity in the presence and origin of foreign affiliates across French regions to identify their impact on comovement. We find a positive impact of foreign affiliates' presence on the comovement of business cycles between their regions of location and their countries of origin. This effect is not primarily driven by foreign affiliates' trade with their countries of origin.

Suggested Citation

  • Jörn Kleinert & Julien Martin & Farid Toubal, 2015. "The Few Leading the Many: Foreign Affiliates and Business Cycle Comovement," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-01306646, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:cesptp:hal-01306646
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01306646
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Joachim Wagner & John P. Weche Gelübcke, 2016. "Risk or Resilience? The Role of Trade Integration and Foreign Ownership for the Survival of German Enterprises during the Crisis 2008–2010," World Scientific Book Chapters,in: Microeconometrics of International Trade, chapter 11, pages 369-397 World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    2. Julian di Giovanni & Andrei A. Levchenko & Isabelle Mejean, 2018. "The Micro Origins of International Business-Cycle Comovement," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 108(1), pages 82-108, January.
    3. Nicholas Sly & Caroline Weber, 2013. "International Fiscal Policy Coordination and GDP Comovement," CESifo Working Paper Series 4358, CESifo Group Munich.
    4. repec:bla:reviec:v:25:y:2017:i:2:p:292-319 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Natalia Ramondo & Felix Tintelnot & Andreas Moxnes & Anna Gumpert, 2016. "Multinational Firms and Export Dynamics," 2016 Meeting Papers 124, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    6. Gumpert, Anna & Moxnes, Andreas & Ramondo, Natalia & Tintelnot, Felix, 2017. "The Life-Cycle Dynamics of Exporters and Multinational Firms," Rationality and Competition Discussion Paper Series 55, CRC TRR 190 Rationality and Competition.
    7. repec:oup:qjecon:v:132:y:2017:i:2:p:921-962. is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Blonigen, Bruce A. & Piger, Jeremy & Sly, Nicholas, 2014. "Comovement in GDP trends and cycles among trading partners," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(2), pages 239-247.
    9. Claudia Busl & Marcus Kappler, 2013. "Does Foreign Direct Investment Synchronise Business Cycles? Results from a Panel Approach," WWWforEurope Working Papers series 23, WWWforEurope.
    10. repec:bla:worlde:v:40:y:2017:i:1:p:140-167 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. Gabor Bekes & Gianmarco I.P. Ottaviano, 2015. "Micro-founded measurement of regional competitiveness in Europe," IEHAS Discussion Papers 1525, Institute of Economics, Centre for Economic and Regional Studies, Hungarian Academy of Sciences.
    12. Javier Cravino & Andrei A. Levchenko, 2017. "Multinational Firms and International Business Cycle Transmission," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 132(2), pages 921-962.
    13. repec:jes:wpaper:y:2012:v:4:p:668-692 is not listed on IDEAS
    14. repec:eee:ecolet:v:163:y:2018:i:c:p:95-97 is not listed on IDEAS
    15. Elisabeth Beusch & Barbara Döbeli & Andreas M. Fischer & Pinar Yeşin, 2017. "Merchanting and Current Account Balances," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(1), pages 140-167, January.
    16. repec:hal:journl:dumas-00910194 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. Sebastian Florian Enea & Silvia Palaºcã, 2012. "Globalization Versus Segregation - Business Cycles Synchronization In Europe," CES Working Papers, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, vol. 4(4), pages 668-692, December.
    18. Paniagua, Jordi & Figueiredo, Erik & Sapena, Juan, 2015. "Quantile regression for the FDI gravity equation," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 68(7), pages 1512-1518.
    19. Nicola Cortinovis & Riccardo Crescenzi & Frank van Oort, 2018. "Multinational enterprises, industrial relatedness and employment in European regions," Papers in Evolutionary Economic Geography (PEEG) 1802, Utrecht University, Department of Human Geography and Spatial Planning, Group Economic Geography, revised Jan 2018.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    business cycles; foreign affiliates;

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F23 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - Multinational Firms; International Business
    • F44 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Business Cycles

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