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Stockage des déchets radioactifs et incertitude

Author

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  • Alain Ayong Le Kama

    (EQUIPPE - Economie Quantitative, Intégration, Politiques Publiques et Econométrie - Université de Lille, Sciences et Technologies - Université de Lille, Sciences Humaines et Sociales - PRES Université Lille Nord de France - Université de Lille, Droit et Santé)

  • Mouez Fodha

    (CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, PSE - Paris School of Economics - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - ENPC - École nationale des ponts et chaussées - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement)

Abstract

This paper examines optimal radioactive-waste burial policy under an uncertainty : the possibility that an accident mightoccur in the future. The framework is an optimal growth model with pollution disutility. We show that nuclear power maybe a long-term solution for world energy demand. Nevertheless, under uncertainty, the social planner will decide to reducethe waste-burial rate, but the changes in consumption levels-and hence in buried-waste levels-are ambiguous. Dependingon the economy's balanced growth rate and the preference parameters, the optimal amount of buried waste may increasedespite the risk of a future accident.

Suggested Citation

  • Alain Ayong Le Kama & Mouez Fodha, 2009. "Stockage des déchets radioactifs et incertitude," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-00639506, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:cesptp:hal-00639506
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    Cited by:

    1. Veronique Thireau, 2014. "Quel traitement des déchets par l'analyse économique ?," Post-Print hal-01221380, HAL.

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