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Stockage des déchets radioactifs et incertitude

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  • Alain Ayong Le Kama
  • Mouez Fodha

Abstract

This paper examines optimal radioactive-waste burial policy under an uncertainty : the possibility that an accident mightoccur in the future. The framework is an optimal growth model with pollution disutility. We show that nuclear power maybe a long-term solution for world energy demand. Nevertheless, under uncertainty, the social planner will decide to reducethe waste-burial rate, but the changes in consumption levels–and hence in buried-waste levels–are ambiguous. Dependingon the economy’s balanced growth rate and the preference parameters, the optimal amount of buried waste may increasedespite the risk of a future accident.

Suggested Citation

  • Alain Ayong Le Kama & Mouez Fodha, 2009. "Stockage des déchets radioactifs et incertitude," Economie & Prévision, La Documentation Française, vol. 0(4), pages 39-52.
  • Handle: RePEc:cai:ecoldc:ecop_190_0039
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Hartwick, John M, 1977. "Intergenerational Equity and the Investing of Rents from Exhaustible Resources," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 67(5), pages 972-974, December.
    2. Alain Le Kama & Katheline Schubert, 2004. "Growth, Environment and Uncertain Future Preferences," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 28(1), pages 31-53, May.
    3. Christian Gollier & Jean-Guy Devezeaux de Lavergne, 2001. "Analyse quantitative de la réversibilité du stockage des déchets nucléaires : valorisation des déchets," Economie & Prévision, La Documentation Française, vol. 149(3), pages 1-13.
    4. Heal, Geoffrey M., 1993. "The optimal use of exhaustible resources," Handbook of Natural Resource and Energy Economics,in: A. V. Kneese† & J. L. Sweeney (ed.), Handbook of Natural Resource and Energy Economics, edition 1, volume 3, chapter 18, pages 855-880 Elsevier.
    5. Alain Ayong Le Kama & Katheline Schubert, 2006. "Ressources renouvelables et incertitude sur les préférences des générations futures," Revue d'économie politique, Dalloz, vol. 116(2), pages 229-250.
    6. Smulders, Sjak & Gradus, Raymond, 1996. "Pollution abatement and long-term growth," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 12(3), pages 505-532, November.
    7. Alain Ayong Le Kama, 2001. "Preservation and exogenous uncertain future preferences," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 18(3), pages 745-752.
    8. Chakravorty, Ujjayant & Magné, Bertrand & Moreaux, Michel, 2006. "Can Nuclear Power solve the Global Warming Problem?," IDEI Working Papers 381, Institut d'Économie Industrielle (IDEI), Toulouse.
    9. John Hartwick, 1977. "Intergenerational Equity and the Investment of Rents from Exhaustible Resources in a Two Sector Model," Working Papers 281, Queen's University, Department of Economics.
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    Cited by:

    1. Veronique Thireau, 2014. "Quel traitement des déchets par l'analyse économique ?," Post-Print hal-01221380, HAL.

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    Keywords

    nuclear waste; pollution; growth; uncertainty;

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