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Stockage des déchets radioactifs et incertitude

Listed author(s):
  • Alain Ayong Le Kama
  • Mouez Fodha

This paper examines optimal radioactive-waste burial policy under an uncertainty : the possibility that an accident mightoccur in the future. The framework is an optimal growth model with pollution disutility. We show that nuclear power maybe a long-term solution for world energy demand. Nevertheless, under uncertainty, the social planner will decide to reducethe waste-burial rate, but the changes in consumption levels–and hence in buried-waste levels–are ambiguous. Dependingon the economy’s balanced growth rate and the preference parameters, the optimal amount of buried waste may increasedespite the risk of a future accident.

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Article provided by La Documentation Française in its journal Economie & prévision.

Volume (Year): n° 190-191 (2009)
Issue (Month): 4 ()
Pages: 39-52

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Handle: RePEc:cai:ecoldc:ecop_190_0039
Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.cairn.info/revue-economie-et-prevision.htm

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  1. Christian Gollier & Jean-Guy Devezeaux de Lavergne, 2001. "Analyse quantitative de la réversibilité du stockage des déchets nucléaires : valorisation des déchets," Economie & Prévision, La Documentation Française, vol. 149(3), pages 1-13.
  2. Heal, Geoffrey M., 1993. "The optimal use of exhaustible resources," Handbook of Natural Resource and Energy Economics,in: A. V. Kneese† & J. L. Sweeney (ed.), Handbook of Natural Resource and Energy Economics, edition 1, volume 3, chapter 18, pages 855-880 Elsevier.
  3. Alain Ayong Le Kama & Katheline Schubert, 2006. "Ressources renouvelables et incertitude sur les préférences des générations futures," Revue d'économie politique, Dalloz, vol. 116(2), pages 229-250.
  4. Smulders, Sjak & Gradus, Raymond, 1996. "Pollution abatement and long-term growth," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 12(3), pages 505-532, November.
  5. Alain Le Kama & Katheline Schubert, 2004. "Growth, Environment and Uncertain Future Preferences," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 28(1), pages 31-53, May.
  6. John Hartwick, 1977. "Intergenerational Equity and the Investment of Rents from Exhaustible Resources in a Two Sector Model," Working Papers 281, Queen's University, Department of Economics.
  7. Alain Ayong Le Kama, 2001. "Preservation and exogenous uncertain future preferences," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 18(3), pages 745-752.
  8. Hartwick, John M, 1977. "Intergenerational Equity and the Investing of Rents from Exhaustible Resources," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 67(5), pages 972-974, December.
  9. Chakravorty, Ujjayant & Magné, Bertrand & Moreaux, Michel, 2006. "Can Nuclear Power solve the Global Warming Problem?," IDEI Working Papers 381, Institut d'Économie Industrielle (IDEI), Toulouse.
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