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The Deficit Paradox

Author

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  • Assa, Jacob
  • Morgan, Marc

Abstract

Paradoxes have long functioned as diagnostic devices in economic theory, revealing tensions between individual behaviour, aggregate outcomes, and the conceptual foundations of economic reasoning. Building on the paradox of thrift, this paper develops a distinct but related puzzle: the deficit paradox . The deficit paradox arises from a persistent fallacy of identification between fiat currency users and fiat currency issuers; whereby radically different monetary actors are treated as if they faced symmetric budget constraints. For households and firms, deficits (expenditure in excess of income) reduce net worth and are constrained by solvency, and desired net saving. When generalised, these constraints can generate demand contraction and financial instability. For a sovereign fiat currency issuer, by contrast, spending and income are operationally unrelated: public expenditure creates money, taxation destroys it, and the relevant constraints are political and real rather than financial. Interpreting public deficits through household budgeting analogies therefore produces conceptual contradiction rather than insight. The paper combines stock‑flow analysis with insights from the philosophy of language to show how fiscal discourse is shaped by misleading metaphors and grammatical forms that obscure the distinction between accounting identities and binding constraints. Extending the argument, it shows how the same conceptual error structures debates over fiscal sustainability, economic development, and global imbalances. The deficit paradox thus reframes disputes over public finance as problems of conceptual clarity, rather than fiscal irresponsibility.

Suggested Citation

  • Assa, Jacob & Morgan, Marc, 2026. "The Deficit Paradox," Working Papers unige:195744, University of Geneva, Paul Bairoch Institute of Economic History.
  • Handle: RePEc:gnv:wpaper:unige:195744
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • B41 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - Economic Methodology - - - Economic Methodology
    • H62 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Deficit; Surplus
    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian; Modern Monetary Theory
    • E41 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Demand for Money

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