IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/gnv/wpaper/unige195744.html

The Deficit Paradox

Author

Listed:
  • Assa, Jacob
  • Morgan, Marc

Abstract

Paradoxes have long functioned as diagnostic devices in economic theory, revealing tensions between individual behaviour, aggregate outcomes, and the conceptual foundations of economic reasoning. Building on the paradox of thrift, this paper develops a distinct but related puzzle: the deficit paradox . The deficit paradox arises from a persistent fallacy of identification between fiat currency users and fiat currency issuers; whereby radically different monetary actors are treated as if they faced symmetric budget constraints. For households and firms, deficits (expenditure in excess of income) reduce net worth and are constrained by solvency, and desired net saving (income in excess of expenditure). When generalised, these constraints can generate demand contraction and financial instability. For a sovereign fiat currency issuer, by contrast, spending and income are operationally unrelated (as long as spending and taxing are done in the domestic currency): public expenditure creates money, taxation destroys it, and the relevant constraints are political and real rather than financial. Interpreting public deficits through household budgeting analogies therefore produces conceptual contradiction rather than insight. The paper combines stock‑flow analysis with insights from the philosophy of language to show how fiscal discourse is shaped by misleading metaphors and grammatical forms that obscure the distinction between accounting identities and binding constraints. Extending the argument, it shows how the same conceptual error structures debates over fiscal sustainability, economic development, and global imbalances. The deficit paradox thus reframes disputes over public finance as problems of conceptual clarity, rather than fiscal irresponsibility

Suggested Citation

  • Assa, Jacob & Morgan, Marc, 2026. "The Deficit Paradox," Working Papers unige:195744, University of Geneva, Paul Bairoch Institute of Economic History.
  • Handle: RePEc:gnv:wpaper:unige:195744
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://luniarchidoc5.unige.ch/archive-ouverte/unige:195744/ATTACHMENT02
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Rudy Bouguelli, 2025. "The blind spot of endogenous money: global banking and the Eurodollar market," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 49(4), pages 655-673.
    2. Borio, Claudio, 2016. "On the centrality of the current account in international economics," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 266-274.
    3. Heise, Arne, 2025. "Rules versus discretion in Post Keynesian fiscal policy," ZÖSS-Discussion Papers 115, University of Hamburg, Centre for Economic and Sociological Studies (CESS/ZÖSS).
    4. Paul Davidson, 1965. "Keynes'S Finance Motive," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 17(1), pages 47-65.
    5. Andrew Berkeley & Josh Ryan-Collins & Richard Tye & Asker Voldsgaard & Neil Wilson, 2025. "The Self-Financing State: An Institutional Analysis of Government Expenditure, Revenue Collection and Debt Issuance Operations in the United Kingdom," Journal of Economic Issues, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 59(3), pages 852-880, July.
    6. Asimakopulos, A, 1983. "Kalecki and Keynes on Finance, Investment and Saving," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 7(3-4), pages 221-233, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Federico Maria Ferrara & Jörg S Haas & Andrew Peterson & Thomas Sattler, 2022. "Exports vs. Investment: How Public Discourse Shapes Support for External Imbalances," Post-Print hal-02569351, HAL.
    2. Bellino, Enrico & Nerozzi, Sebastiano, 2013. "Causality and interdependence in Pasinetti's works and in the modern classical approach," MPRA Paper 52179, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Claudio Sardoni, 2019. "Investment and savings in a dynamic context," Working Papers 1/19, Sapienza University of Rome, DISS.
    4. Hou, Canran & Liu, Huan, 2020. "Foreign residency rights and corporate cash holdings," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    5. Davis, Leila & de Souza, Joao & Kim, YK. & Rella, Giacomo, 2023. "What are firms borrowing for? The role of financial assets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    6. Moritz Schularick & Ilhyock Shim, 2017. "Household credit in Asia-Pacific," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Financial systems and the real economy, volume 91, pages 129-144, Bank for International Settlements.
    7. Ruth Badru, 2020. "Distribution and Gender Effects on the Path of Economic Growth: Comparative Evidence for Developed, Semi-Industrialized, and Low-Income Agricultural Economies," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_959, Levy Economics Institute.
    8. Apergis, Nicholas & Tsoumas, Chris, 2009. "A survey of the Feldstein-Horioka puzzle: What has been done and where we stand," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(2), pages 64-76, June.
    9. Kumhof, Michael & Sokol, Andrej & Rungcharoenkitkul, Phurichai, 2020. "How Does International Capital Flow?," CEPR Discussion Papers 15526, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    10. Bofinger, Peter & Geißendörfer, Lisa & Haas, Thomas & Mayer, Fabian, 2021. "Discovering the True Schumpeter - New Insights into the Finance and Growth Nexus," CEPR Discussion Papers 16851, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    11. Adnan Velic, 2024. "Current Account Imbalances, Real Exchange Rates, and Nominal Exchange Rate Variability," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 35(3), pages 497-545, July.
    12. Devereux, Michael B. & Saito, Makoto & Yu, Changhua, 2020. "International capital flows, portfolio composition, and the stability of external imbalances," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    13. Emiliano Brancaccio, 2023. "Centralizzazione del capitale, guerra e pace (Centralization of capital, war and peace)," Moneta e Credito, Economia civile, vol. 76(304), pages 339-356.
    14. Gianfranco Giulioni & Marcello Silvestri & Edgardo Bucciarelli, 2017. "Firms’ Finance in an Experimentally Microfounded Agent-Based Macroeconomic Model," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 68(2), pages 259-320, May.
    15. Michael D. Bordo & Robert N. McCauley, 2019. "Triffin: Dilemma or Myth?," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 67(4), pages 824-851, December.
    16. Michael D. Bordo & Robert N. McCauley, 2016. "The Current Account Version of the Triffin Dilemma," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 44(2), pages 171-182, June.
    17. Carlos Sidnei Coutinho, 1995. "Modelo analítico da síntese pós-keynesiana: instabilidade e acumulação de riqueza na economia monetária da produção," Textos para Discussão Cedeplar-UFMG 090, Cedeplar, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais.
    18. Korkut A. Erturk, 2006. "On the Minskyan Business Cycle," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_474, Levy Economics Institute.
    19. Korkut Erturk, 2005. "Speculation, Liquidity Preference and Monetary Circulation," Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, University of Utah 2005_12, University of Utah, Department of Economics.
    20. Giovanni Cesaroni, 2001. "The finance motive, the Keynesian theory of the rate of interest and the investment multiplier," The European Journal of the History of Economic Thought, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(1), pages 58-74.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • B41 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - Economic Methodology - - - Economic Methodology
    • H62 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Deficit; Surplus
    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian; Modern Monetary Theory
    • E41 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Demand for Money

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gnv:wpaper:unige:195744. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Jean-Blaise Claivaz (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ihegech.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.