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Inflation Contracts And Inflation Targets Under Uncertainty: Why We Might Need Conservative Bankers

  • Anton Muscatelli

This paper compares the relative effectiveness of inflation contracts and inflation targets in the presence of uncertainty regarding the central bank’s preferences and the underlying output target. The model explains why discretion may be superior to a delegation solution. We also show that there might be the need to combine inflation targets and contracts with the appointment of a Rogoff-type 'conservative’ central banker if contracts and targets cannot be made state-contingent, and that less flexible inflation targets may be appropriate with uncertain central bank preferences.

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Paper provided by Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow in its series Working Papers with number 9801.

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Date of creation: Jan 1998
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Handle: RePEc:gla:glaewp:9801
Contact details of provider: Postal: Adam Smith Building, Glasgow G12 8RT
Phone: 0141 330 4618
Fax: 0141 330 4940
Web page: http://www.gla.ac.uk/schools/business/research/

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