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Les consequences du vieillissement demographique sur l'epargne des menages en France


  • Boutillier, M.
  • Pansard, F.
  • Sejourne, B.


Clairement etablie au niveau theorique, la relation entre epargne et demographie est contreversee empiriquement. Alors que des evolutions demographiques majeures sont en cours, nous tentons de cerner dans quelle mesure la structure de la population francaise influence l'epargne des menages. Notre etude, qui porte sur la periode 1970-1997, montre que le taux d'epargne des menages est relie positivement a la part des 40-59 ans dans la population totale, et negativement a ce des individus de 75 ans et plus. Ces resultats, en partie conformes aux enseignements theoriques, peuvent etre rapproches des projections de population disponibles. On en deduit que, certis paribus, le taux d'epargne devrait croitre jusqu'en 2005-2010, pour ensuite diminuer, la generation du baby boom entrant alors en periode d'inactivite. Le vieillissement demographique devrait egalement avoir des consequences sur l'allocation de l'epargne, avec une preference pour les actifs longs pendant quelques annees encore.

Suggested Citation

  • Boutillier, M. & Pansard, F. & Sejourne, B., 2000. "Les consequences du vieillissement demographique sur l'epargne des menages en France," Papers 2000-61/ma, Caisse des Depots et Consignations - Cahiers de recherche.
  • Handle: RePEc:fth:cadeco:2000-61/ma

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    Cited by:

    1. Fabrice Pansard, 2001. "Les grands équilibres économiques de la zone euro," Revue d'Économie Financière, Programme National Persée, vol. 64(4), pages 29-43.
    2. Ileana NICULESCU-ARON & Ozge CAGCAG, 2012. "Household Saving In Western European Countries. A General Overview," Journal of Social and Economic Statistics, Bucharest University of Economic Studies, vol. 1(2), pages 48-58, DECEMBER.
    3. repec:dau:papers:123456789/6265 is not listed on IDEAS

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    JEL classification:

    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • J14 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Economics of the Elderly; Economics of the Handicapped; Non-Labor Market Discrimination
    • D91 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making


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