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Inflation and Exchange Rate Regimes in Mexico


  • Li, C.A.
  • Philippopoulos, A.
  • Tzavalis, E.


We present a version of the exchange-rate regime model of inflation. We then use quarterly data from Mexico during 1946.I-1995.I to test and estimate a simultaneous equation model for wage inflation, price inflation and industrial produciton. In doing so, we respect the Lucas critique and take into account the statistical properties of the data. The main empirical finding is that after the fall of the fixed exchange rate regime in 1976, there is a Barro-Gordon type inflation bias due to the inability of policy-makers to commit to low inflation.

Suggested Citation

  • Li, C.A. & Philippopoulos, A. & Tzavalis, E., 1998. "Inflation and Exchange Rate Regimes in Mexico," Discussion Papers 9801, University of Exeter, Department of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:exe:wpaper:9801

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    Cited by:

    1. Chelley-Steeley, Patricia & Lambertides, Neophytos & Savva, Christos S., 2013. "Illiquidity shocks and the comovement between stocks: New evidence using smooth transition," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 1-15.
    2. Giannellis, Nikolaos & Koukouritakis, Minoas, 2013. "Exchange rate misalignment and inflation rate persistence: Evidence from Latin American countries," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 202-218.
    3. Patricia Chelley‐Steeley & Neophytos Lambertides & Christos S. Savva, 2019. "Sentiment, order imbalance, and co‐movement: An examination of shocks to retail and institutional trading activity," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 25(1), pages 116-159, January.
    4. Thomas M Fullerton Jr & Roberto Tinajero, 2004. "Short-Run Price Dynamics in Mexico," Macroeconomics 0407027, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Chelley-Steeley, Patricia & Lambertides, Neophytos & Savva, Christos S., 2015. "The effect of security and market order flow shocks on co-movement," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 136-155.

    More about this item


    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E3 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit
    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance


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