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Inflation and Exchange Rate Regimes in Mexico

Author

Listed:
  • Li, C.A.
  • Philippopoulos, A.
  • Tzavalis, E.

Abstract

We present a version of the exchange-rate regime model of inflation. We then use quarterly data from Mexico during 1946.I-1995.I to test and estimate a simultaneous equation model for wage inflation, price inflation and industrial produciton. In doing so, we respect the Lucas critique and take into account the statistical properties of the data. The main empirical finding is that after the fall of the fixed exchange rate regime in 1976, there is a Barro-Gordon type inflation bias due to the inability of policy-makers to commit to low inflation.

Suggested Citation

  • Li, C.A. & Philippopoulos, A. & Tzavalis, E., 1998. "Inflation and Exchange Rate Regimes in Mexico," Discussion Papers 9801, Exeter University, Department of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:exe:wpaper:9801
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Stockman, Alan C., 1981. "Anticipated inflation and the capital stock in a cash in-advance economy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 8(3), pages 387-393.
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    7. Blanchard, Olivier Jean & Kahn, Charles M, 1980. "The Solution of Linear Difference Models under Rational Expectations," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 48(5), pages 1305-1311, July.
    8. Calvo, Guillermo A, 1986. "Temporary Stabilization: Predetermined Exchange Rates," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 94(6), pages 1319-1329, December.
    9. Carmichael, Jeffrey, 1982. "Money and Growth: Some Old Theorems from a New Perspective," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 58(163), pages 386-394, December.
    10. Kimbrough, Kent P, 1986. "Inflation, Employment, and Welfare in the Presence of Transactions Costs," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 18(2), pages 127-140, May.
    11. King, Robert G. & Plosser, Charles I. & Rebelo, Sergio T., 1988. "Production, growth and business cycles : I. The basic neoclassical model," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(2-3), pages 195-232.
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    Cited by:

    1. Giannellis, Nikolaos & Koukouritakis, Minoas, 2013. "Exchange rate misalignment and inflation rate persistence: Evidence from Latin American countries," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 202-218.
    2. Thomas M Fullerton Jr & Roberto Tinajero, 2004. "Short-Run Price Dynamics in Mexico," Macroeconomics 0407027, EconWPA.
    3. Chelley-Steeley, Patricia & Lambertides, Neophytos & Savva, Christos S., 2015. "The effect of security and market order flow shocks on co-movement," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 136-155.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    EXCHANGE RATE ; INFLATION ; EMPLOYMENT ; MEXICO;

    JEL classification:

    • E3 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit
    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance

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