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Estimation of the J-Curve in China

  • Jaleel Ahmad

    (Economics, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Montreal, Canada)

  • Jing Yang

    (Economics, Concordia University, Ottawa, Canada)

This paper investigates whether a J-curve can be detected in the time series data on China's bilateral trade with the G-7 countries. It utilizes cointegration and causality tests to ascertain the long-run relatedness, and the short-run dynamics, between the real exchange rate, national income, and the trade balance. There is some evidence that a real depreciation eventually improves the trade balance with some countries. But there is no indication of a negative short-run response which characteristics the J-Curve.

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Paper provided by East-West Center, Economics Study Area in its series Economics Study Area Working Papers with number 67.

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Length: 22 pages
Date of creation: Mar 2004
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:ewc:wpaper:wp67
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