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Propensity Score Estimates of the Effects of Fertility on Marital Dissolution


  • Daniela VURI


In recent years many studies have reported significant emirical associations between fertility and marital dissolution. Whether this is a causal effect or only a correlation is not clear. This issue is explored by using matching methods. First the effect of “having children” (binary treatment) on marital disruption is investigated. Then, the method is extended to the case of “number of children in the household” (multi-valued treatment). The main findings indicate that parents do not divorce less in the presence of children but they only postpone the decision to divorce until the children get older

Suggested Citation

  • Daniela VURI, 2003. "Propensity Score Estimates of the Effects of Fertility on Marital Dissolution," Economics Working Papers ECO2003/04, European University Institute.
  • Handle: RePEc:eui:euiwps:eco2003/04

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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Bellido, Héctor & Molina, José Alberto & Solaz, Anne & Stancanelli, Elena, 2016. "Do children of the first marriage deter divorce?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 15-31.
    2. Elina Vinberg & Rannveig Kaldager Hart & Torkild H. Lyngstad, 2015. "Increasingly stable or more stressful? Children and union dissolution across four decades Evidence from Norway," Discussion Papers 814, Statistics Norway, Research Department.
    3. Svarer, Michael & Verner, Mette, "undated". "Do Children Stabilize Marriages?," Economics Working Papers 2003-3, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.

    More about this item


    Fertility; marital dissolution; propensity score methods; counterfactual;

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C2 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables
    • J12 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Marriage; Marital Dissolution; Family Structure
    • J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth


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