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Estimating duration intervals

Author

Listed:
  • Franses, Ph.H.B.F.
  • Vroomen, B.L.K.

Abstract

Duration intervals measure the dynamic impact of advertising on sales. More precise, the p per cent duration interval measures the time lag between the advertising impulse and the moment that p per cent of its effect has decayed. In this paper, we derive an expression for the duration interval for a general dynamic model linking sales to advertising. Additionally, and this is themain novelty of the paper, we put forward a method to provide confidence bounds around the estimated duration interval. An illustration to real-life data emphasizes its usefulness.

Suggested Citation

  • Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & Vroomen, B.L.K., 2003. "Estimating duration intervals," ERIM Report Series Research in Management ERS-2003-031-MKT, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus University Rotterdam.
  • Handle: RePEc:ems:eureri:331
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    File URL: https://repub.eur.nl/pub/331/ERS-2003-031-MKT.pdf
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Franses, Philip Hans, 2006. "Forecasting in Marketing," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 18, pages 983-1012, Elsevier.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    advertising effects; duration interval; marketing; simulation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General
    • C44 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Operations Research; Statistical Decision Theory
    • M - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics

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