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New evidence on the remedies of the Greek sovereign debt problem

  • Nicholas Apergis
  • Arusha Cooray

The goal of the present paper is to investigate not only the dynamics of the Greek public debt, but also what are the appropriate measures required for achieving fiscal consolidation. The empirical estimation is carried out using a macroeconomic dataset spanning the period 1980-2008 and both the 3SLS methodological approach on a theoretical model and the structural VAR methodology to perform forecast tests and to calibrate the future paths of the public debt variable up to 2020. The results suggest that only an aggressive growth policy could permit the country to achieve debt sustainability. The results are expected to have important implications to policy makers for designing effective macroeconomic policy in terms of achieving sustainable levels of public debt.

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File URL: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/55266/
File Function: Open access version.
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Paper provided by London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library in its series LSE Research Online Documents on Economics with number 55266.

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Length: 36 pages
Date of creation: Nov 2013
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:ehl:lserod:55266
Contact details of provider: Postal: LSE Library Portugal Street London, WC2A 2HD, U.K.
Phone: +44 (020) 7405 7686
Web page: http://www.lse.ac.uk/

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  1. George Alogoskoufis, 2013. "Macroeconomics and politics in the accumulation of Greece’s debt: an econometric investigation, 1975-2009," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 50257, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  2. Helen Caraveli & Efthymios G. Tsionas, 2012. "Economic restructuring, crises and the regions: the political economy of regional inequalities in Greece," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 44882, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  3. Prodromos Vlamis, 2013. "Greek fiscal crisis and repercussions for the property market," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 52627, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  4. Nicos Christodoulakis, 2013. "Currency crisis and collapse in interwar Greece: predicament or policy failure?," European Review of Economic History, Oxford University Press, vol. 17(3), pages 272-293, August.
  5. Theologos Dergiades & Costas Milas & Theodore Panagiotidis, 2013. "Tweets, Google Trends and Sovereign Spreads in the GIIPS," GreeSE – Hellenic Observatory Papers on Greece and Southeast Europe 78, Hellenic Observatory, LSE.
  6. Anagnostopoulos, Achilleas & Siebert, W. Stanley, 2012. "The Impact of Greek Labour Market Regulation on Temporary and Family Employment: Evidence from a New Survey," IZA Discussion Papers 6504, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
  7. Manussos Marangudakis & Kostas Rontos & Maria Xenitidou, 2013. "State Crisis and Civil Consciousness in Greece," GreeSE – Hellenic Observatory Papers on Greece and Southeast Europe 77, Hellenic Observatory, LSE.
  8. Melina Skouroliakou, 2012. "The Communication Factor in Greek Foreign Policy: An Analysis," GreeSE – Hellenic Observatory Papers on Greece and Southeast Europe 55, Hellenic Observatory, LSE.
  9. Emmanuel Mamatzakis, 2013. "Are there any Animal Spirits behind the Scenes of the Euro area Sovereign Debt Crisis?," GreeSE – Hellenic Observatory Papers on Greece and Southeast Europe 72, Hellenic Observatory, LSE.
  10. Yiannos Katsourides, 2013. "Political Parties and Trade Unions in Cyprus," GreeSE – Hellenic Observatory Papers on Greece and Southeast Europe 74, Hellenic Observatory, LSE.
  11. Stella Ladi, 2012. "The Eurozone Crisis and Austerity Politics: A Trigger for Administrative Reform in Greece?," GreeSE – Hellenic Observatory Papers on Greece and Southeast Europe 57, Hellenic Observatory, LSE.
  12. Spyros Kosmidis, 2013. "Government constraints and economic voting in Greece," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 50259, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  13. Kostas Ifantis, 2013. "The US and Turkey in the fog of Regional Uncertainty," GreeSE – Hellenic Observatory Papers on Greece and Southeast Europe 73, Hellenic Observatory, LSE.
  14. Dimitris Venieris, 2013. "Crisis Social Policy and Social Justice: the case for Greece," GreeSE – Hellenic Observatory Papers on Greece and Southeast Europe 69, Hellenic Observatory, LSE.
  15. Yannis Kechagiaras, 2012. "Why did Greece block the Euro-Atlantic integration of the Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia? An Analysis of Greek Foreign Policy Behaviour Shifts," GreeSE – Hellenic Observatory Papers on Greece and Southeast Europe 58, Hellenic Observatory, LSE.
  16. Julien Etienne, 2013. "Controlled negative reciprocity between the state and civil society: the Greek case," GreeSE – Hellenic Observatory Papers on Greece and Southeast Europe 71, Hellenic Observatory, LSE.
  17. Anastassios Chardas, 2012. "Multi-level governance and the application of the partnership principle in times of economic crisis in Greece," GreeSE – Hellenic Observatory Papers on Greece and Southeast Europe 56, Hellenic Observatory, LSE.
  18. Prodromos Vlamis, 2013. "Greek Fiscal Crisis and Repercussions for the Property Market," GreeSE – Hellenic Observatory Papers on Greece and Southeast Europe 76, Hellenic Observatory, LSE.
  19. Nikos Chrysoloras, 2013. "Rebuilding Eurozone’s Ground Zero. A review of the Greek economic crisis," GreeSE – Hellenic Observatory Papers on Greece and Southeast Europe 66, Hellenic Observatory, LSE.
  20. Spyros Kosmidis, 2013. "Government Constraints and Economic Voting in Greece," GreeSE – Hellenic Observatory Papers on Greece and Southeast Europe 70, Hellenic Observatory, LSE.
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