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Potential output estimates for Central and East European countries using production function method


  • Marit Hinnosaar



In the paper potential output of four Central and East European countries is estimated using the Cobb-Douglas production function. Estonian production function uses data of employment, sectoral restructuring, estimated capital stock and foreign direct investments. Capital stock and level of technology are estimated for the Central and East European countries using the same form of production function and parameter estimates of Estonian economy. Potential output is calculated using the long-term unemployment to approximate potential labour input in the production. According to the estimates potential output is higher than actual in all the countries during most of the period, except in the fast economic growth periods (in the Czech Republic in 1995-1996, Estonia in 1997-1998 and Latvia in 1997, respectively).

Suggested Citation

  • Marit Hinnosaar, 2001. "Potential output estimates for Central and East European countries using production function method," Bank of Estonia Working Papers 2001-2, Bank of Estonia, revised 13 Oct 2001.
  • Handle: RePEc:eea:boewps:wp2001-02

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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Olivier Basdevant, 2003. "On applications of state-space modelling in macroeconomics," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2003/02, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
    2. Masso, Jaan & Staehr, Karsten, 2005. "Inflation dynamics and nominal adjustment in the Baltic States," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(2), pages 281-303, June.
    3. Rasmus Kattai, 2005. "EMMA - A Quarterly Model of the Estonian Economy," Bank of Estonia Working Papers 2005-12, Bank of Estonia, revised 12 Dec 2005.
    4. Dainis Stikuts, 2003. "Measuring Output Gap in Latvia," Working Papers 2003/02, Latvijas Banka.

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