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Bayesian estimation for the M/G/1 queue using a phase type approximation

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  • Ausín Olivera, María Concepción
  • Wiper, Michael Peter
  • Lillo Rodríguez, Rosa Elvira

Abstract

This article deals with Bayesian inference and prediction for M/G/1 queueing systems. The general service time density is approximated with a class of Erlang mixtures which are phase type distributions. Given this phase type approximation, an explicit evaluation of measures such as the stationary queue size, waiting time and busy period distributions can be obtained. Given arrival and service data, a Bayesian procedure based on reversible jump Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods is proposed to estimate system parameters and predictive distributions.

Suggested Citation

  • Ausín Olivera, María Concepción & Wiper, Michael Peter & Lillo Rodríguez, Rosa Elvira, 2001. "Bayesian estimation for the M/G/1 queue using a phase type approximation," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws013019, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
  • Handle: RePEc:cte:wsrepe:ws013019
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. C. Armero & D. Conesa, 1998. "Inference and prediction in bulk arrival queues and queues with service in stages," Applied Stochastic Models and Data Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 14(1), pages 35-46, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ausín Olivera, María Concepción & Lillo Rodríguez, Rosa Elvira & Wiper, Michael Peter, 2001. "Bayesian inference and prediction for the GI/M/1 queueing system," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws014126, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.

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