IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/crm/wpaper/26094.html

Who Enters the Public Sector?

Author

Listed:
  • Clara von Bismarck-Osten

Abstract

Is the public sector losing the most educated to finance, tech, and consulting? Does it act as a Keynesian employment insurer to the less educated? The data constraints behind the limited evidence on this have recently been overcome for England. The probability of entering the public sector rises with education, and this paper documents that this educational gradient has strengthened. Relative to just before the financial crisis, the public sector became a less common workplace for individuals entering the labour market with low levels of education. At the same time, it became a more common destination for the most educated, whether defined by highest qualification, university rank, or final grade. Graduates from top universities do show increased entry into finance, the tech sector, and the consulting industry, but also show-despite a substantial deterioration of pay differentials-an increasing preference for the public sector as an entry-workplace. A decomposition of the trends by graduate discipline and destination industry points to UK-specific policy explanations.

Suggested Citation

  • Clara von Bismarck-Osten, 2026. "Who Enters the Public Sector?," RFBerlin Discussion Paper Series 26094, ROCKWOOL Foundation Berlin (RFBerlin).
  • Handle: RePEc:crm:wpaper:26094
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.rfberlin.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/26094.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Fabien Postel-Vinay & Hélène Turon, 2007. "The Public Pay Gap in Britain: Small Differences That (Don't?) Matter," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 117(523), pages 1460-1503, October.
    2. Fabien Postel-Vinay, 2015. "Does it pay to be a public-sector employee?," World of Labour, LISER, pages 156-156, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Clara von Bismarck-Osten, 2026. "Who enters the public sector?," IFS Working Papers W26/17, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    2. Clara von Bismarck-Osten & Matthew Nibloe, 2025. "Who enters the public sector? A cohort analysis of sectoral choice," IFS Working Papers W25/32, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    3. Donato Di Carlo & Christian Lyhne Ibsen & Oscar Molina, 2024. "The new political economy of public sector wage-setting in Europe: Introduction to the special issue," European Journal of Industrial Relations, , vol. 30(1), pages 5-30, March.
    4. Jake Bradley & Fabien Postel-Vinay & Hélène Turon, 2017. "Public Sector Wage Policy and Labor Market Equilibrium: A Structural Model," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 15(6), pages 1214-1257.
    5. Oscar Valencia & Alfredo Villca & Carolina Ulloa-Suárez & Gustavo Sánchez, 2025. "Bridging the Wage Gap: The Fiscal and Economic Gains of Reducing Government Employment Inefficiencies," Working Papers of BETA 2025-49, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
    6. Morikawa, Masayuki, 2016. "A comparison of the wage structure between the public and private sectors in Japan," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 73-90.
    7. Tansel, Aysit & Keskin, Halil Ibrahim & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin, 2008. "Public versus Private Sector Wage Gap in Egypt: Evidence from Quantile Regression on Panel Data," MPRA Paper 89540, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Moreno Baruffini & Federica Origo, 2014. "Job satisfaction and flexicurity over the business cycle: evidence from Swiss individual-level data," ERSA conference papers ersa14p366, European Regional Science Association.
    9. Monojit Chatterji & Karen Mumford & Peter N Smith, 2007. "The Public-Private Sector Wage Differential: Gender, Workplaces and Family Friendliness," Dundee Discussion Papers in Economics 202, Economic Studies, University of Dundee.
    10. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/1frfnu9k0921o6s94ptnm0q4o is not listed on IDEAS
    11. Garibaldi, Pietro & Gomes, Pedro & Sopraseuth, Thepthida, 2021. "Public employment redux," Journal of Government and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 1(C).
    12. Siebert, W. Stanley & Peng, Fei & Maimaiti, Yasheng, 2011. "HRM Practices and Performance of Family-Run Workplaces: Evidence from the 2004 WERS," IZA Discussion Papers 5899, IZA Network @ LISER.
    13. Jørn Rattsø & Hildegunn E Stokke, 2024. "Public sector wage compression and wage inequality: gender and geographic heterogeneity," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 76(3), pages 722-740.
    14. Dickson, Matt & Postel-Vinay, Fabien & Turon, Hélène, 2014. "The lifetime earnings premium in the public sector: The view from Europe," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 141-161.
    15. Jake Bradley & Fabien Postel-Vinay & Hélène Turon, 2017. "Public Sector Wage Policy and Labor Market Equilibrium: A Structural Model," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 15(6), pages 1214-1257.
    16. Fontaine, Idriss & Gálvez-Iniesta, Ismael & Gomes, Pedro & Vila-Martin, Diego, 2020. "Labour market flows: Accounting for the public sector," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    17. Ghazala Azmat & Alan Manning & John Van Reenen, 2007. "Privatization, Entry Regulation and the Decline of Labor's Share of GDP: A Cross-Country Analysis of the Network Industries," CEP Discussion Papers dp0806, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    18. Domenico Depalo & Raffaella Giordano, 2011. "The public-private pay gap: a robust quantile approach," Giornale degli Economisti, GDE (Giornale degli Economisti e Annali di Economia), Bocconi University, vol. 70(1), pages 25-64, January.
    19. Philip Murphy & David Blackaby & Nigel O'Leary & Anita Staneva, 2020. "Understanding What Has Been Happening to the Public‐Sector Pay Premium in Great Britain: A Distributional Approach Based on the Labour Force Survey," British Journal of Industrial Relations, London School of Economics, vol. 58(2), pages 273-300, June.
    20. Pedro Gomes, 2009. "Labour market effects of public sector employment and wages," 2009 Meeting Papers 313, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    21. Minas Vlassis & Polyxeni Gioti, 2018. "A Two-Period Unionized Mixed Oligopoly Model: Public-Private Wage Differentials and “Eurosclerosis†Reconsidered," Working Papers 1802, University of Crete, Department of Economics.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • J24 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
    • J45 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Particular Labor Markets - - - Public Sector Labor Markets

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:crm:wpaper:26094. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Moritz Lubczyk or Matthew Nibloe (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/cmucluk.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.