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Global Production Linkages and Stock Market Comovement

Author

Listed:
  • Auer, Raphael
  • Iwadati, Bruce
  • Schrimpf, Andreas
  • Wagner, Alexander F.

Abstract

Although real integration conceptually plays an important role for the comovement of international equity markets, documenting this link empirically has proven challenging. We construct a new dataset of theory-guided, relevant measures of bilateral trade in final and intermediate goods and services. With these measures, we provide evidence of a strong link between changes in international trade – in particular global value chains – and equity market comovement. These results suggest that supply chain disruptions and reshoring, for instance due to political tensions, war, and the COVID-19 crisis, might affect the interconnections between stock markets via rippling through the global production network.

Suggested Citation

  • Auer, Raphael & Iwadati, Bruce & Schrimpf, Andreas & Wagner, Alexander F., 2023. "Global Production Linkages and Stock Market Comovement," CEPR Discussion Papers 18330, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:18330
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • F65 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Finance
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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