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Impacto de los precios internacionales del petróleo WTI y los alimentos en la inflación y en el crecimiento sectorial y macroeconómico en Colombia

Listed author(s):
  • Oscar Andrés Espinosa Acuña - Paola Andrea Vaca González


Esta investigación busca analizar dos tópicos, en primer lugar, los impactos que en Colombia tienen los precios internacionales del petróleo (referencia WTI) y los alimentos (carne, lácteos, azúcar, aceites), sobre los diferentes sectores económicos con los que poseen vínculos directos. En segundo lugar, estudiar los efectos de estos precios sobre la inflación y el crecimiento del producto en la economía nacional. Para estos dos objetivos, se realiza entre 2000 y 2011, un análisis estadístico mediante modelos VAR, determinando a partir de estos, causalidades de Granger, funciones de impulso-respuesta, y descomposiciones de varianza. Los datos utilizados son los índices de precios de alimentos de la FAO, el precio del petróleo WTI, los PIB sectoriales, el producto agregado, y el índice de precios al consumidor (general y sin alimentos).

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Paper provided by UN - RCE - CID in its series ECONOGRAFOS - ESCUELA DE ECONOMÍA with number 010034.

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Length: 39
Date of creation: 17 Sep 2012
Handle: RePEc:col:000176:010034
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