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O uso das taxas de crescimento por idade para identificação das principais etapas da transição demográfica no Brasil

Author

Listed:
  • Luana Junqueira Dias Myrrha

    (Cedeplar-UFMG)

  • Gabriela P. C. L. Siviero

    (Cedeplar-UFMG)

  • Cassio M. Turra

    (Cedeplar-UFMG)

  • Simone Wajnman

    (Cedeplar-UFMG)

Abstract

The analysis of the set of age specific growth rates in a population, proposed by Horiuch and Preston (1988), is an alternative way to examine the process of changing age structure, and to examine potential "marks" left by the demographic history of each cohort. The objective of this study is to apply this methodology to the Brazilian population, discussing some of the main features of the demographic history in Brazil. Based on simulated patterns of age specific growth rates discussed by Horiuch and Preston (1988) we look at pertinent features of the Brazilian population´s demographic history that may be present in the current cohorts. The results presented here show that the information contained in current age specific growth rates are quite instructive about the effects of variations in demographic regimes and are very useful in populations where vital rates are not reliable or unavailable.

Suggested Citation

  • Luana Junqueira Dias Myrrha & Gabriela P. C. L. Siviero & Cassio M. Turra & Simone Wajnman, 2012. "O uso das taxas de crescimento por idade para identificação das principais etapas da transição demográfica no Brasil," Textos para Discussão Cedeplar-UFMG 460, Cedeplar, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais.
  • Handle: RePEc:cdp:texdis:td460
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    File URL: http://www.cedeplar.ufmg.br/pesquisas/td/TD%20460.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. J. D. Gould, 1952. "The Royal Mint In The Early Seventeenth Century," Economic History Review, Economic History Society, vol. 5(2), pages 240-248, December.
    2. Carlos Eduardo Suprinyak, 2011. "The role of experts in the public assessment of England´s trade crisis of the early 1620´s," Textos para Discussão Cedeplar-UFMG td421, Cedeplar, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais.
    3. Gould, J. D., 1955. "The Trade Crisis of the Early 1620's and English Economic Thought," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 15(02), pages 121-133, June.
    4. Kindleberger, Charles P., 1991. "The Economic Crisis of 1619 to 1623," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 51(01), pages 149-175, March.
    5. Raymond de Roover, 1951. "Monopoly Theory Prior to Adam Smith: A Revision," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 65(4), pages 492-524.
    6. Lawrence Stone, 1949. "Elizabethan Overseas Trade," Economic History Review, Economic History Society, vol. 2(1), pages 30-58, August.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Age specific growth rates; population aging; Brazil; age structure;

    JEL classification:

    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts

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