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L'inflation sous-jacente à partir d'une approche structurelle des VAR : Une application à la France, l'Allemagne et au Royaume-Uni

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  • Jacquinot, P.

Abstract

Central banks should dispose of a precise measure of the structural inflation, i.e. the inflation adjusted from the economic cycle. This component of inflation, also called core inflation, is deduced from a structural VAR. Economists agree upon the long-term neutrality of inflation on production. Imposing such a constraint on a structural VAR, including inflation and production, allows to disentangle the core and the cyclical components of inflation. The core inflation is obtained by canceling the cyclical component of inflation. Quah and Vahey(1995) use the identification method proposed by Blanchard and Quah(1989) to compute the core inflation in UK. We apply the same technique for France, Germany and UK. Moreover, the procyclical characteristic of short-term inflation is showed whereas, since 1993, inflation would be closer to its underlying level in Germany. Stronger nominal rigidity in Germany would explain such a fact.

Suggested Citation

  • Jacquinot, P., 1998. "L'inflation sous-jacente à partir d'une approche structurelle des VAR : Une application à la France, l'Allemagne et au Royaume-Uni," Working papers 51, Banque de France.
  • Handle: RePEc:bfr:banfra:51
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Mark A. Wynne, 2008. "Core inflation: a review of some conceptual issues," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue May, pages 205-228.
    2. Mark A. Wynne, 2008. "Core inflation: a review of some conceptual issues," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 90(May), pages 205-228.
    3. Murhula, Pacifique, 2020. "Tendance de l'inflation sous-jacente en RDC: une modélisation à partir de l'approche VAR structurelle [Trend of Core inflation in DRCongo: a model based on the Structural VAR approach]," MPRA Paper 105005, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 08 Jan 2021.
    4. Gert Wehinger, 2000. "Causes of Inflation in Europe, the United States and Japan: Some Lessons for Maintaining Price Stability in the EMU from a Structural VAR Approach," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 27(1), pages 83-107, March.
    5. Luis J. Álvarez & María de los Llanos Matea, 1999. "Underlying Inflation Measures in Spain," Working Papers 9911, Banco de España.
    6. Abdul Aleem & Amine Lahiani, 2011. "Estimation and evaluation of core inflation measures," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(25), pages 3619-3629.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Core inflation ; Structural VAR.;

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