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Egypte : les impacts économique et financier d'une transition politique difficile

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  • Sophie CHAUVIN

Abstract

Amorcée en janvier 2011, la crise sociopolitique que traverse l’Egypte se poursuit et s‘accompagne de conséquences importantes pour l’économie. La croissance a fléchi. Le chômage s‘inscrit à la hausse. Alors que la situation des finances publiques était déjà tendue avant la crise, la réduction de l’activité et le poids des subventions ont creusé le déficit budgétaire. De fait, la dette publique a augmenté de nouveau après avoir suivi une tendance baissière entre 2004 et 2010. A court terme, le pays fait face à une double problématique : relancer l’activité tout en assurant un atterrissage en douceur des déséquilibres des finances publiques et des comptes externes qui se creusent depuis le début de 2011. La persistance de tensions politiques rend difficile la résorption de ces tensions économiques, alors que dans le même temps les enjeux de long terme demeurent importants, notamment en matière de croissance et d‘emp oi. La transition politique que traverse l’Egypte est longue et douloureuse. Cette étude se propose d‘analyser la situation macroéconomique de ce pays et des principaux enjeux de moyen terme auxquels il doit faire face.

Suggested Citation

  • Sophie CHAUVIN, 2017. "Egypte : les impacts économique et financier d'une transition politique difficile," Working Paper fb66a9e5-4eab-493b-9938-b, Agence française de développement.
    • Handle: RePEc:avg:wpaper:fr597
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Anne Ged, 1985. "Migrations et transformations économiques et sociales en Égypte," Revue Tiers Monde, Programme National Persée, vol. 26(103), pages 493-506.
    2. Nassar, Heba., 2011. "Growth, employment policies and economic linkages : Egypt," ILO Working Papers 994652793402676, International Labour Organization.
    3. repec:ilo:ilowps:465279 is not listed on IDEAS
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Afrique; Égypte;

    JEL classification:

    • E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics

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