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A Composite Risk Measure Framework for Decision Making under Uncertainty

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  • Pengyu Qian
  • Zizhuo Wang
  • Zaiwen Wen

Abstract

In this paper, we present a unified framework for decision making under uncertainty. Our framework is based on the composite of two risk measures, where the inner risk measure accounts for the risk of decision given the exact distribution of uncertain model parameters, and the outer risk measure quantifies the risk that occurs when estimating the parameters of distribution. We show that the model is tractable under mild conditions. The framework is a generalization of several existing models, including stochastic programming, robust optimization, distributionally robust optimization, etc. Using this framework, we study a few new models which imply probabilistic guarantees for solutions and yield less conservative results comparing to traditional models. Numerical experiments are performed on portfolio selection problems to demonstrate the strength of our models.

Suggested Citation

  • Pengyu Qian & Zizhuo Wang & Zaiwen Wen, 2015. "A Composite Risk Measure Framework for Decision Making under Uncertainty," Papers 1501.01126, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1501.01126
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Soumyadip Ghosh & Henry Lam, 2019. "Robust Analysis in Stochastic Simulation: Computation and Performance Guarantees," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 67(1), pages 232-249, January.
    2. Zhilin Kang & Zhongfei Li, 2018. "An exact solution to a robust portfolio choice problem with multiple risk measures under ambiguous distribution," Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research (GOR);Nederlands Genootschap voor Besliskunde (NGB), vol. 87(2), pages 169-195, April.

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