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Migration and Climate Change in Rural Africa

Author

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  • Cattaneo, Cristina
  • Massetti, Emanuele

Abstract

We analyse whether migration is an adaptation that households employ to cope with climate in Ghana and Nigeria. If migration is part of the present adaptation portfolio of households in developing countries, it is reasonable to expect that it will also be an adaptation to future climate change. It is important to stress that we are interested in long-term climatic conditions rather than in short-term weather fluctuations. The data to test these predictions are drawn from two different household surveys: the Nigeria General Household Survey and the Ghana Living Standard Survey. We find a hill-shaped relationship between temperature in the dry sea son and the propensity to migrate in households that operate farms. We also find a significant hill-shaped relationship between precipitations in the wet seasons and the propensity to migrate in farm households. Climate has instead no significant impact on the propensity to migrate in non-farm households. Climate change scenarios generated by General Circulation model reveal that, ceteris paribus, migration may decline in Ghana and in Nigeria.

Suggested Citation

  • Cattaneo, Cristina & Massetti, Emanuele, "undated". "Migration and Climate Change in Rural Africa," Climate Change and Sustainable Development 202117, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:feemcl:202117
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.202117
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    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/202117/files/NDL2015-029.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. D. Abdoul Karim Zanhouo & A. Berenger Ismael Nana, 2019. "Modeling Climate Change Impact on Health and Population Migration: A Systematic Review," Economics Literature, WERI-World Economic Research Institute, vol. 1(1), pages 51-65, June.
    2. Chiara Falco & Franco Donzelli & Alessandro Olper, 2018. "Climate Change, Agriculture and Migration: A Survey," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-21, May.
    3. Winner Akuabianuju Amaefule & Excel Obumneme Amaefule & Fanen Terdoo & Chinaza Samuel Adibe & Romoke Shakirat Ojo & Francisca Ogechukwu Oshim, 2025. "Climate Change, Resource Scarcity and Conflicts in Omor and its Environs, Anambra State, Nigeria," International Journal of Research and Scientific Innovation, International Journal of Research and Scientific Innovation (IJRSI), vol. 12(10), pages 2254-2282, October.
    4. Dimitri Defrance & Esther Delesalle & Flore Gubert, 2020. "Is migration drought-induced in Mali? An empirical analysis using panel data on Malian localities over the 1987-2009 period," Working Papers DT/2020/01, DIAL (Développement, Institutions et Mondialisation).
    5. Maya Moore & Dennis Wesselbaum, 2023. "Climatic factors as drivers of migration: a review," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(4), pages 2955-2975, April.
    6. Marion Borderon & Endale Kebede & Patrick Sakdapolrak & Raffaella Pagogna & Raya Muttarak & Eva Sporer, 2019. "Migration influenced by environmental change in Africa: A systematic review of empirical evidence," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 41(18), pages 491-544.

    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • O15 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population

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