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Drought Management Plans and Water Availability in Agriculture. A Risk Assessment Model for a Southern European Basin

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  • Pérez Blanco, Carlos Dionisio
  • Gómez Gómez, Carlos Mario

Abstract

The Drought Management Plans (DMPs) are a regulatory instrument that establishes priorities among the different water uses and defines more stringent constraints to access to publicly provided water during droughts, especially for non-priority uses such as agriculture. These plans have recently become widespread across EU southern basins. Shockingly, in some of these basins the plans were approved without an assessment of the potential impacts that they may have over the economic activities exposed to water restrictions. This paper develops a stochastic methodology to estimate the expected water availability in agriculture that results from the decision rules of the recently approved DMPs. The methodology is applied to the particular case of the Guadalquivir River Basin in southern Spain. Results show that if the DMPs are successfully enforced, available water will satisfy in average 62.2% of the annual demand. This is much lower than the minimum water access reliability of 90% that the Spanish law has assured to irrigators so far.

Suggested Citation

  • Pérez Blanco, Carlos Dionisio & Gómez Gómez, Carlos Mario, 2014. "Drought Management Plans and Water Availability in Agriculture. A Risk Assessment Model for a Southern European Basin," Climate Change and Sustainable Development 177303, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:feemcl:177303
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.177303
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    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/177303/files/NDL2014-057.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Vernon W. Ruttan, 2002. "Productivity Growth in World Agriculture: Sources and Constraints," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 16(4), pages 161-184, Fall.
    2. Julio Berbel & Solveig Kolberg & Julia Martin-Ortega, 2012. "Assessment of the Draft Hydrological Basin Plan of the Guadalquivir River Basin (Spain)," International Journal of Water Resources Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(1), pages 43-55.
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    Cited by:

    1. Rolandas Drejeris & Martynas Rusteika, 2022. "New Approach to the Public Authorities’ Activities Development in the Crop Insurance System: Lithuanian Case," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-15, August.
    2. Mehmet Dikici, 2022. "Drought Analysis for the Seyhan Basin with Vegetation Indices and Comparison with Meteorological Different Indices," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-17, April.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Labor and Human Capital;

    JEL classification:

    • Q1 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture
    • Q25 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation - - - Water

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