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Potential Scenarios for China’s Future Grain Sorghum Excess Demand

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  • Wang, Haiyan
  • Malaga, Jaime

Abstract

China’s sorghum imports have shown an unexpected increase since 2013 mainly due to the Chinese government “temporary reserve program” implemented on corn. The objective of this study is an attempt to provide a reference for sorghum exporters to prepare for China’s future sorghum import trends when the Chinese government policy changes. This study developed a sorghum supply and demand structure model to estimate and forecast China’s future sorghum excess demand. The results of this study suggested that China imports will decrease when government eliminates the subsidy policy for corn, but will not decrease to the levels that occurred before the year 2013.

Suggested Citation

  • Wang, Haiyan & Malaga, Jaime, 2016. "Potential Scenarios for China’s Future Grain Sorghum Excess Demand," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235946, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:aaea16:235946
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.235946
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    Cited by:

    1. Sabala, Ethan & Devadoss, Stephen, 2021. "Analysis of Chinese Tariff on Sorghum Market under Varying Market Structures," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 47(1), January.

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    Keywords

    Agricultural and Food Policy; International Relations/Trade;

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