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Heterogeneous Switching in FAVAR Models

In: Essays in Honour of Fabio Canova

Author

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  • Pierre Guérin
  • Danilo Leiva-León

Abstract

The authors introduce a new approach to estimate high-dimensional factor-augmented vector autoregressive models (FAVAR) where the loadings are subject to idiosyncratic regime-switching dynamics. Our Bayesian estimation method alleviates computational challenges and makes the estimation of high-dimensional FAVAR with heterogeneous regime-switching straightforward to implement. The authors perform extensive simulation experiments to study the finite sample performance of our estimation method, demonstrating its relevance in high-dimensional settings. Next, the authors illustrate the performance of the proposed framework for studying the impact of credit market disruptions on a large set of macroeconomic variables. The results of this study underline the importance of accounting for non-linearities in factor loadings when evaluating the propagation of aggregate shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Pierre Guérin & Danilo Leiva-León, 2022. "Heterogeneous Switching in FAVAR Models," Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honour of Fabio Canova, volume 44, pages 65-98, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
  • Handle: RePEc:eme:aecozz:s0731-90532022000044b003
    DOI: 10.1108/S0731-90532022000044B003
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Markov switching; factor analysis; vector autoregressions; Bayesian methods; credit; business cycle; C32; C38; C55; E44; E50;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C38 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Classification Methdos; Cluster Analysis; Principal Components; Factor Analysis
    • C55 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Large Data Sets: Modeling and Analysis
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General

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