Korea after Kim Jong-il
Today's North Korean regime embodies elements of both communism and Confucian dynasty, is sovereign with respect to only part of the divided Korean nation, is vulnerable to pressure from external powers, and confronts incipient internal demands for change, yielding an unusually broad set of possible transition paths and successor regimes. Such paths range from maintenance of the status quo to evolution, probably toward a more conventional form of military authoritarianism, to revolutionary upheaval, the latter in all likelihood implying the North's collapse and its absorption into the rival Southern state. This policy analysis quantitatively analyzes the probability of regime change and examines the character of possible successor regimes and the implications of these profoundly different trajectories for South Korea.
|This book is provided by Peterson Institute for International Economics in its series Peterson Institute Press: All Books with number pa71 and published in 2004.|
|Note:||Policy Analyses in International Economics 71|
|Contact details of provider:|| Postal: 1750 Massachusetts Ave., NW, Washington, DC|
Web page: http://bookstore.piie.com/
More information through EDIRC
When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:iie:ppress:pa71. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Peterson Institute webmaster)
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.