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Import substitution and Russian food independence

Author

Listed:
  • Götz, Linde
  • Jamali Jaghdani, Tinoush
  • Tejeda, Hernan A.

Abstract

We investigate whether Russia’s change in trade policy from increasingly WTO compliant, pre-WTO accession policy to being restrictive, discretionary and WTO non-compliant has changed price volatility on the domestic market. DCC-MGARCH model results suggest doubling of conditional volatility and volatility correlation between pork producer prices along Russia’s pork supply chain. A volatility regime switch is confirmed by the regime switching dynamic correlations model. Our findings show that contrary to their objective, discretionary trade restrictions may increase price volatility in the domestic market. Trade restrictions need to be redesigned such that rule-based, WTO-conform trade policies are implemented instead.

Suggested Citation

  • Götz, Linde & Jamali Jaghdani, Tinoush & Tejeda, Hernan A., 2026. "Import substitution and Russian food independence," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 53(2), pages 772-816.
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:espost:341363
    DOI: 10.1093/erae/jbaf067
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    JEL classification:

    • Q13 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agricultural Markets and Marketing; Cooperatives; Agribusiness
    • Q17 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agriculture in International Trade
    • Q18 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agricultural Policy; Food Policy; Animal Welfare Policy

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