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Economic Policy Uncertainty And The Real Economy Of Singapore

Author

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  • KHANDOKAR ISTIAK

    (University of South Alabama, Mobile, Alabama 36688, USA)

Abstract

This paper investigates (for the first time) the impact of the economic policy uncertainties of Singapore and its major trading partners on Singapore’s industrial production and exports. The study uses monthly data from January 2003 to August 2019, correlation analysis, spillover index analysis and a structural vector autoregression model to perform the investigation. Using the newly invented Singaporean economic policy uncertainty index, the research finds that it is a good predictor of industrial production. It is found that, in general, uncertainty depresses Singapore’s industrial production and exports. The paper suggests that policymakers promote new entrepreneurship and build a skilled labor force to minimize the impact of uncertainty on the economy of Singapore.

Suggested Citation

  • Khandokar Istiak, 2022. "Economic Policy Uncertainty And The Real Economy Of Singapore," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 67(04), pages 1307-1331, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:wsi:serxxx:v:67:y:2022:i:04:n:s0217590820460042
    DOI: 10.1142/S0217590820460042
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economic policy uncertainty; industrial production; export; structural VAR;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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