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Logic and Motivation in Risk Research: A Nuclear Waste Test Case

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  • Rex V. Brown

Abstract

After two decades of massive investigation, federal approval of a nuclear waste site is drawing to a close. Large‐scale research to assure that major hazards such as this one are socially acceptable is often highly inefficient, as here. A regulatory remedy would be to require not only that risk currently assessed be acceptable, but also that risk would remain acceptable given any new information. Research to test compliance with these rules has to be cost effective. Research activities should be managed according to an explicit discipline that can be imposed on powerful conflicting interests. They might be required to (1) set targets for the first‐ and second‐order risk assessments, (2) allocate research resources to close any gap between current and target assessments cost effectively, and (3) reallocate resources, as evolving findings dictate. The interests of license applicant (Department of Energy, DOE) and society are distinguished: the former would want the application approved; the latter would want to reject an unacceptable facility.

Suggested Citation

  • Rex V. Brown, 2005. "Logic and Motivation in Risk Research: A Nuclear Waste Test Case," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 25(1), pages 125-140, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:riskan:v:25:y:2005:i:1:p:125-140
    DOI: 10.1111/j.0272-4332.2005.00572.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ralph L. Keeney & Detlof von Winterfeldt, 1994. "Managing Nuclear Waste from Power Plants," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 14(1), pages 107-130, February.
    2. Brown, Rex V, 1993. "Impersonal Probability as an Ideal Assessment Based on Accessible Evidence: A Viable Construct?," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 7(2), pages 215-235, October.
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    Cited by:

    1. Rex V. Brown, 2009. "Working with Policy Makers on Their Choices: A Decision Analyst Reminisces," Decision Analysis, INFORMS, vol. 6(1), pages 14-24, March.
    2. Steve Jacob & Nathalie Schiffino, 2015. "Risk Policies in the United States: Definition and Characteristics Based on a Scoping Review of the Literature," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 35(5), pages 849-858, May.

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