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The performance of traders' rules in options market

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  • Sol Kim

Abstract

This study focuses on the usefulness of the traders' rules to predict future implied volatilities for pricing and hedging KOSPI 200 index options. There are two versions of this approach. In the “relative smile” approach, the implied volatility skew is treated as a fixed function of moneyness. In the “absolute smile” approach, the implied volatility skew is treated as a fixed function of the strike price. It is found that the “absolute smile” approach shows better performance than Black, F. and Scholes, L. ( 1973 ) model and the stochastic volatility model for both pricing and hedging options. Consistent with Jackwerth, J. C. and Rubinstein, M. (2001) and Li, M. and Pearson, N. D. (2007), the traders' rules dominate mathematically more sophisticated model, that is, the stochastic volatility model. The traders' rules can be an alternative to the sophisticated and complicated models for pricing and hedging options. © 2009 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark 29:999–1020, 2009

Suggested Citation

  • Sol Kim, 2009. "The performance of traders' rules in options market," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(11), pages 999-1020, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:jfutmk:v:29:y:2009:i:11:p:999-1020
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    Cited by:

    1. Sol Kim & In Jung Song, 2021. "The traders' rule and long‐term options," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(3), pages 406-436, March.
    2. Alok Dixit & Shivam Singh, 2018. "Ad-Hoc Black–Scholes vis-à-vis TSRV-based Black–Scholes: Evidence from Indian Options Market," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 16(1), pages 57-88, March.
    3. Sol Kim, 2021. "Portfolio of Volatility Smiles versus Volatility Surface: Implications for pricing and hedging options," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(7), pages 1154-1176, July.
    4. Huang, Hung-Hsi & Lin, Shin-Hung & Wang, Chiu-Ping, 2019. "Reasonable evaluation of VIX options for the Taiwan stock index," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 111-130.
    5. Tao Li, 2013. "Investors' Heterogeneity and Implied Volatility Smiles," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 59(10), pages 2392-2412, October.
    6. Kwangil Bae, 2019. "Valuation and applications of compound basket options," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 704-720, June.
    7. Seungho Yang & Jaewook Lee, 2014. "Do affine jump-diffusion models require global calibration? Empirical studies from option markets," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(1), pages 111-123, January.

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