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Estimating Both Supply and Demand Elasticities Using Variation in a Single Tax Rate

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  • Floris T. Zoutman
  • Evelina Gavrilova
  • Arnt O. Hopland

Abstract

We show how an insight from taxation theory allows identification of both the supply and demand elasticities using only one instrument. Most models of taxation since Ramsey (1927) assume that a tax levied on the demand side only affects demand through the price after taxation. Econometrically, we show that this assumption acts as an exclusion restriction. Under the Ramsey Exclusion Restriction (RER), a single tax reform can serve to simultaneously identify the demand and supply elasticity. We develop an estimation method, which includes 2SLS estimators for the elasticities, and a test for strength of the instrument. We discuss possible applications.

Suggested Citation

  • Floris T. Zoutman & Evelina Gavrilova & Arnt O. Hopland, 2018. "Estimating Both Supply and Demand Elasticities Using Variation in a Single Tax Rate," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 86(2), pages 763-771, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:emetrp:v:86:y:2018:i:2:p:763-771
    DOI: 10.3982/ECTA15129
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    Cited by:

    1. Andrew J. Bibler & Keith F. Teltser & Mark J. Tremblay, 2021. "Inferring Tax Compliance from Pass-Through: Evidence from Airbnb Tax Enforcement Agreements," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 103(4), pages 636-651, October.
    2. Dearing, Adam, 2022. "Estimating structural demand and supply models using tax rates as instruments," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    3. Hildegunn E. Stokke, 2021. "Regional payroll tax cuts and individual wages: heterogeneous effects of worker ability and firm productivity," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 28(6), pages 1360-1384, December.
    4. Thiess Büttner & Frank Hechtner & Boryana Madzharova, 2023. "Taxes and Gender Equality: The Incidence of the ‘Tampon Tax’," CESifo Working Paper Series 10580, CESifo.
    5. Amy Finkelstein & Casey McQuillan & Owen Zidar & Eric Zwick, 2023. "The Health Wedge and Labor Market Inequality," Working Papers 2023-01, Princeton University. Economics Department..
    6. Andrew Bibler & Laura Grigolon & Keith F. Teltser & Mark J. Tremblay, 2024. "Identifying Tax Compliance from Changes in Enforcement: Theory and Empirics," CESifo Working Paper Series 10921, CESifo.
    7. Watson, C. Luke, 2021. "the General Equilibrium Incidence of the Earned Income Tax Credit," SocArXiv 8n3ag, Center for Open Science.
    8. Chaonan Feng & Liyan Han & Lei Li, 2023. "Who Pays for the Tariffs and Why? A Tale of Two Countries," CESifo Working Paper Series 10497, CESifo.
    9. Dai, Mi, 2022. "Tariff pass-through: the case of china's WTO accession," IDE Discussion Papers 870, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO).
    10. Mi Dai, 2023. "Tariff pass‐through: The case of china's WTO accession," The Developing Economies, Institute of Developing Economies, vol. 61(4), pages 278-296, December.
    11. Andrew Bibler & Laura Grigolon & Keith F. Teltser & Mark J. Tremblay, 2024. "Identifying Tax Compliance from Changes in Enforcement: Theory and Empirics," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2024_505, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
    12. Pablo D Fajgelbaum & Pinelopi K Goldberg & Patrick J Kennedy & Amit K Khandelwal, 2020. "The Return to Protectionism," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 135(1), pages 1-55.

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