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The Profitability of the Strategy Linking Fundamental, Portfolio and Technical Analysis on the Polish Capital Market

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  • Flotyński Marcin

    (Poznań University of Economics and Business, Faculty of Economics, Department of Money Policy and Financial Markets, Al. Niepodległości 10, 61-875 Poznań, Poland)

Abstract

In the article, several methods of taking investment decisions are described: a fundamental, portfolio, and technical analysis. They constitute different approaches which are convenient for different types of investors with various expectations and time horizons of their investments. The simultaneous combination of these three analyses is not popular. The aim of this study is to test the effectiveness of simultaneous use of a fundamental analysis, portfolio analysis, and technical analysis for shares quoted on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) in 2000–2007. The research hypothesis is advanced that the concurrent-linked application of a fundamental, portfolio, and technical analysis brings better results than the separate use of these analyses. Models of capital market, such as CAPM and APT, have been used, as well as P/E ratio, Return on Equity (RoE), Relative Strength Index (RSI), and Exponential Moving Average (EMA). The combination of a financial analysis, technical indicators, and models of the capital market in order to invest on the stock exchange is author’s own method. In general, the survey has been carried out on the grounds of quantitative methods (financial analysis, regression model, and multi regression model) and a comparative analysis. The results of the research have been used to create diversified portfolios on the WSE. It occurs that the concurrent use of the three analyses brings the highest rate of return of a portfolio.

Suggested Citation

  • Flotyński Marcin, 2016. "The Profitability of the Strategy Linking Fundamental, Portfolio and Technical Analysis on the Polish Capital Market," Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia, Sciendo, vol. 16(1), pages 113-146, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:vrs:foeste:v:16:y:2016:i:1:p:113-146:n:8
    DOI: 10.1515/foli-2016-0008
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    Keywords

    fundamental analysis; portfolio analysis; technical analysis; the Warsaw Stock Exchange; CAPM;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C00 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - General
    • C01 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Econometrics
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors

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