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To Tell or Not to Tell: Preference Elicitation with and without Emphasis on Scientific Uncertainty

Author

Listed:
  • Margrethe Aanesen
  • Claire Armstrong
  • Trude Borch
  • Reinhold Fieler
  • Vera Hausner
  • Gorm Kipperberg
  • Henrik Lindhjem
  • Ståle Navrud

Abstract

Decisions about the optimal use of coastal and marine resources must be made with high uncertainty about environmental impacts and may conflict with public perception of the risk associated with current blue growth initiatives. In a discrete choice experiment conducted in valuation workshops in five communities in Arctic Norway, we examine public preferences for various aquaculture expansion paths. Respondents prefer a smaller expansion in terms of the number of aquaculture sites compared with the planned expansion. Emphasizing scientific uncertainty regarding the negative environmental impacts of aquaculture leads to lower resistance against the planned expansion.

Suggested Citation

  • Margrethe Aanesen & Claire Armstrong & Trude Borch & Reinhold Fieler & Vera Hausner & Gorm Kipperberg & Henrik Lindhjem & Ståle Navrud, 2023. "To Tell or Not to Tell: Preference Elicitation with and without Emphasis on Scientific Uncertainty," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 99(3), pages 397-412.
  • Handle: RePEc:uwp:landec:v:99:y:2023:i:3:p:397-412
    Note: DOI: https://doi.org/10.3368/le.99.3.021122-0011R
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    File URL: http://le.uwpress.org/cgi/reprint/99/3/397
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    Cited by:

    1. Tensay Hadush Meles & Razack Lokina & Erica Louis Mtenga & Julieth Julius Tibanywana, 2023. "Stated Preferences with Survey Consequentiality and Outcome Uncertainty: A Split Sample Discrete Choice Experiment," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 86(4), pages 717-754, December.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • Q22 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation - - - Fishery
    • Q51 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Valuation of Environmental Effects

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