IDEAS home Printed from
MyIDEAS: Login to save this article or follow this journal

A Comparison Between Fama and French Model and Liquidity-Based Three Factor Models in Predicting Portfolio Returns

  • Ruzita Abdul Rahim


    (Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, 43600 Bangi, Selangor, Malaysia)

  • Abu Hassan Shaari Mohd. Nor

    (Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, 43600 Bangi, Selangor, Malaysia)

Registered author(s):

    The main objective of this paper is to evaluate the forecasting accuracy of two liquidity-based three-factor models, SiLiq and DiLiq, which have been developed as potential improvements on the Fama-French model. Using common stocks of 230 to 480 listed firms, this study constructs 27 test portfolios double-sorted on: (i) size and book-to-market ratio (B/M), (ii) size and share turnover (TURN) and (iii) B/M and TURN. The study sets the periods of January 1987 to December 2000 for estimation and January 2001 to December 2004 as forecast sample. The forecast errors are measured using mean absolute percentage errors and Theil's Inequality Coefficient. The preliminary results clearly document that three-factor models outperform CAPM. While the hypotheses of no significant differences cannot be rejected, the marginal difference in the errors of the competing three-factor models indicate that predicting returns on stocks traded on Bursa Malaysia can be slightly improved by incorporating illiquidity risk in a three-factor model in the form of DiLiq.

    If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.

    File URL:
    Download Restriction: no

    Article provided by Penerbit Universiti Sains Malaysia in its journal Asian Academy of Management Journal of Accounting and Finance.

    Volume (Year): 2 (2006)
    Issue (Month): 2 ()
    Pages: 43-60

    in new window

    Handle: RePEc:usm:journl:aamjaf00202_43-60
    Contact details of provider: Web page:

    More information through EDIRC

    No references listed on IDEAS
    You can help add them by filling out this form.

    This item is not listed on Wikipedia, on a reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.

    When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:usm:journl:aamjaf00202_43-60. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Journal Division)

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.

    If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    This information is provided to you by IDEAS at the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis using RePEc data.