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Survive Another Day: Using Changes in the Composition of Investments to Measure the Cost of Credit Constraints

Author

Listed:
  • Luis Garicano

    (London School of Economics, CEPR, and Centre for Economic Performance)

  • Claudia Steinwender

    (Harvard Business School and Centre for Economic Performance)

Abstract

We introduce a novel empirical strategy to measure the size of credit shocks. Theoretically, we show that credit shocks reduce the value of long-term relative to short-term investments. Empirically, we can therefore compare the reduction of long-term relative to short-term investments within firms, allowing for firm-times-year fixed effects. Using Spanish firm-level data, we estimate the credit crunch to be equivalent to an additional tax rate of around 11% on the longest-lived capital. To pin down credit constraints as the underlying cause, we apply triple-differences strategies using foreign ownership or precrisis debt maturity.

Suggested Citation

  • Luis Garicano & Claudia Steinwender, 2016. "Survive Another Day: Using Changes in the Composition of Investments to Measure the Cost of Credit Constraints," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 98(5), pages 913-924, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:tpr:restat:v:98:y:2016:i:5:p:913-924
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    JEL classification:

    • O32 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Management of Technological Innovation and R&D
    • O33 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes
    • G31 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Capital Budgeting; Fixed Investment and Inventory Studies
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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