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Chocs climatiques et migration saisonnière dans la

Author

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  • Ibrahim MOHAMED BELLO

    (LARADES, FADEG, Université de Tahoua (Niger))

Abstract

L’objectif de cet article est d’analyser empiriquement les déterminants de la migration saisonnière, qui est une pratique très répandue, dans la région sahélienne de Tahoua en mettant l’accent sur l’effet des chocs climatiques et la vulnérabilité alimentaire des mé-nages. Nous estimons un modèle probit basé sur les données de l’enquête sur la vulnéra-bilité à l’insécurité alimentaire des ménages (EVIAM-2015) réalisée par l’INS-Niger et al. en 2015. Nos résultats indiquent que le revenu par tête du ménage, le nombre des membres actifs dans le ménage ainsi que le sexe, le statut matrimonial et l’activité princi-pale du chef de ménage déterminent sa probabilité de migrer. La baisse des récoltes ré-sultant des chocs climatiques n’est pas statistiquement significative. Cependant, les chocs climatiques provoquent une hausse des prix alimentaires et la vulnérabilité alimentaire des ménages influence leur décision de migrer.

Suggested Citation

  • Ibrahim MOHAMED BELLO, 2019. "Chocs climatiques et migration saisonnière dans la," Region et Developpement, Region et Developpement, LEAD, Universite du Sud - Toulon Var, vol. 49, pages 67-79.
    • Handle: RePEc:tou:journl:v:49:y:2019:p:67-79
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Migration saisonnière ; Chocs climatiques ; Vulnérabilité alimentaire ; Tahoua;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C10 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - General
    • C25 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions; Probabilities
    • Q18 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agricultural Policy; Food Policy; Animal Welfare Policy
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • R20 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - General

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