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The Effect of Florida's Bright Futures Program on College Choice: A Regression Discontinuity Approach

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  • Liang Zhang
  • Shouping Hu
  • Liang Sun
  • Shi Pu

Abstract

This study evaluates the effect of Florida's Bright Future Program on student college choices. We used regression discontinuity design to estimate the effect of two award levels, which had different SAT/ACT thresholds, on the probability of students choosing in-state public colleges and four-year public colleges. The most consistent and robustfinding was the positive, significant increases in the probability of attending Florida's public colleges and in the probability of choosing four-year public colleges for those students who barely met the program eligibility criteria when compared with those who barely missed those criteria. That is, the evidence presented in this analysis points to the fact that the Bright Future programs significantly altered students' college choices, both in terms of attending in-state public colleges and four-year public colleges. Although this finding held at different award levels and for students who took the SAT and/or ACT tests, the magnitude of the program effect varied along these factors.

Suggested Citation

  • Liang Zhang & Shouping Hu & Liang Sun & Shi Pu, 2016. "The Effect of Florida's Bright Futures Program on College Choice: A Regression Discontinuity Approach," The Journal of Higher Education, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 87(1), pages 115-146, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:uhejxx:v:87:y:2016:i:1:p:115-146
    DOI: 10.1080/00221546.2016.11777396
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    Cited by:

    1. Matthew Birch & Robert Rosenman, 2019. "How Much Does Merit Aid Actually Matter? Revisiting Merit Aid and College Enrollment When Some Students “Come Anyway”," Research in Higher Education, Springer;Association for Institutional Research, vol. 60(6), pages 760-802, September.
    2. Felix Thoemmes & Wang Liao & Ze Jin, 2017. "The Analysis of the Regression-Discontinuity Design in R," Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, , vol. 42(3), pages 341-360, June.

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