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England's Rural Futures: A Socio-Geographical Approach to Scenarios Analysis

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  • Philip Lowe
  • Neil Ward

Abstract

Lowe P. and Ward N. England's rural futures: a socio-geographical approach to scenarios analysis, Regional Studies . The paper reports on an exercise to generate alternative future scenarios for rural England through a statistical approach set in a firm conceptual framework. It identifies predominant contemporary trends affecting England's rural areas, geographically differentiates them, and projects them forward using formal modelling. The resultant set of twenty-year future scenarios for the English countryside, intended to help stimulate public debate on rural futures, is presented and discussed. The analysis suggests that in-migrant commuters and retirees are likely to be the major forces impacting on rural social geography in the future.

Suggested Citation

  • Philip Lowe & Neil Ward, 2009. "England's Rural Futures: A Socio-Geographical Approach to Scenarios Analysis," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(10), pages 1319-1332, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:regstd:v:43:y:2009:i:10:p:1319-1332
    DOI: 10.1080/00343400903365169
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    Cited by:

    1. Francesco Pagliacci, 2017. "Measuring EU Urban-Rural Continuum Through Fuzzy Logic," Tijdschrift voor Economische en Sociale Geografie, Royal Dutch Geographical Society KNAG, vol. 108(2), pages 157-174, April.
    2. Rafał Blazy & Jakub Błachut & Agnieszka Ciepiela & Rita Łabuz & Renata Papież, 2021. "Thermal Modernization Cost and the Potential Ecological Effect—Scenario Analysis for Thermal Modernization in Southern Poland," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-16, April.
    3. Abel Duarte Alonso & Julie Nyanjom, 2016. "Volunteering, paying it forward, and rural community: A study of Bridgetown, Western Australia," Community Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(4), pages 481-495, July.
    4. Petri Kahila & Daniel Rauhut, 2015. "Labour Demand And Labour Market Institutions In Rural Areas," Romanian Journal of Regional Science, Romanian Regional Science Association, vol. 9(2), pages 20-38, December.
    5. Nicholas Litsardopoulos & George Saridakis & Chris Hand, 2020. "The Effects of Rural and Urban Areas on Time Allocated to Self-Employment: Differences between Men and Women," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(17), pages 1-18, August.
    6. Caffyn, Alison, 2021. "Broiler battles: Contested intensive poultry unit developments in a policy void," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    7. Liu, Jianzhi & Fang, Yangang & Wang, Ruru & Zou, Cunming, 2022. "Rural typology dynamics and drivers in peripheral areas: A case of Northeast China," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    8. Shogo Kudo & Emmanuel Mutisya & Masafumi Nagao, 2015. "Population Aging: An Emerging Research Agenda for Sustainable Development," Social Sciences, MDPI, vol. 4(4), pages 1-27, October.

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