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Impacts of trade liberalization on Chinese economy with Belt and Road initiative

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Listed:
  • Lingge Zhang
  • Meifeng Luo
  • Dong Yang
  • Kevin Li

Abstract

China has been continuously implementing the open-door policy for past 15 years ever since it joined the World Trade Organization, which escalated international trade and demand for shipping. Compared with the other major importing countries in the world, China’s importing tariff is relatively low. Under the Belt and Road initiatives, more Free Trade Agreements to be concluded and more Free Trade Zones to be established, it is expected that the effective import tariff rate may continue to decrease in the future. This study analyses the impact of further reduction in Chinese import tariff rate on major economic indicators using a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model and based on the Chinese macro-economic data of 2012. The model results show that, with a balanced international payment, such a reduction can increase GDP, resident consumption, both imports and exports, and reduce GDP price, trade surplus, and government revenue. The results ease the concern that further import tariff reduction may harm the domestic production. Rather, it points out that there are still rooms to improve national economy and increase the consumer utility by trade liberation.

Suggested Citation

  • Lingge Zhang & Meifeng Luo & Dong Yang & Kevin Li, 2018. "Impacts of trade liberalization on Chinese economy with Belt and Road initiative," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(3), pages 301-318, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:marpmg:v:45:y:2018:i:3:p:301-318
    DOI: 10.1080/03088839.2017.1396504
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Longcan Zou & Jim Huangnan Shen & Jun Zhang & Chien‐Chiang Lee, 2022. "What is the rationale behind China's infrastructure investment under the Belt and Road Initiative," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(3), pages 605-633, July.
    2. Mau, Karsten & Seuren, Rosalie, 2020. "One Belt, One Road, One Way?," Research Memorandum 024, Maastricht University, Graduate School of Business and Economics (GSBE).
    3. Wei Hu & Yuejing Ge & Zhiding Hu & Shuai Ye & Feng Yang & Haining Jiang & Kun Hou & Yun Deng, 2022. "Geo-Economic Linkages between China and the Countries along the 21st-Century Maritime Silk Road and Their Types," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(19), pages 1-28, October.
    4. Artemis Chang & Rui Torres de Oliveira & Hsi-Mei Chung & Nan Zheng, 2022. "Subnational response differences on the Belt and Road Initiative policy and firm internationalization: A longitudinal and multi-level approach," Journal of International Business Policy, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 5(2), pages 152-171, June.
    5. Fu, Yaping & Wu, Di & Wang, Yan & Wang, Hongfeng, 2020. "Facility location and capacity planning considering policy preference and uncertain demand under the One Belt One Road initiative," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 172-186.
    6. Karsten Mau & Rosalie Seuren, 2023. "One belt, one road, one way? Where European exporters benefit from the new silkroad," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 159(2), pages 257-297, May.

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