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Adaptation potential of ecosystem-based management to climate change in the eastern Canadian boreal forest

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  • Narayan Dhital
  • Fr�d�ric Raulier
  • Pierre Y. Bernier
  • Marie-Pierre Lapointe-Garant
  • Frank Berninger
  • Yves Bergeron

Abstract

Ecosystem-based management (EBM) of forests is gaining acceptance for its focus on the maintenance of the long-term integrity of ecosystem processes, but climate change challenges this view because of its impacts on these very processes. We have therefore evaluated the robustness of EBM to projected climate change, considering the role of climate on forest growth and fire regime in a boreal forest of eastern Canada. A climate sensitive growth index model was calibrated for three commercial species and used to project the evolution of merchantable volume for two climate scenarios (B1 and A2) under conventional and EBM strategies. Current burn rate and burn rates under future climate scenarios were also considered. Under the most extreme projected climate scenario, the periodic timber supply could be reduced by up to 79% through direct (growth reduction) and indirect (fire) effects. However, ecological indicators show that EBM is a more robust forest management strategy than conventional one demonstrating its adaptation potential to climate change at least in the short term.

Suggested Citation

  • Narayan Dhital & Fr�d�ric Raulier & Pierre Y. Bernier & Marie-Pierre Lapointe-Garant & Frank Berninger & Yves Bergeron, 2015. "Adaptation potential of ecosystem-based management to climate change in the eastern Canadian boreal forest," Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 58(12), pages 2228-2249, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:jenpmg:v:58:y:2015:i:12:p:2228-2249
    DOI: 10.1080/09640568.2014.978079
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    Cited by:

    1. Lantz, Van & McMonagle, Galen & Hennigar, Chris & Sharma, Chinmay & Withey, Patrick & Ochuodho, Thomas, 2022. "Forest succession, management and the economy under a changing climate: Coupling economic and forest management models to assess impacts and adaptation options," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    2. Miquelajauregui, Yosune & Cumming, Steven G. & Gauthier, Sylvie, 2019. "Short-term responses of boreal carbon stocks to climate change: A simulation study of black spruce forests," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 409(C), pages 1-1.
    3. Hörl, Jakob & Keller, Klaus & Yousefpour, Rasoul, 2020. "Reviewing the performance of adaptive forest management strategies with robustness analysis," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).

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