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Why is change so slow? Assessing prospects for United Nations Security Council reform

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  • Madeleine O. Hosli
  • Thomas Dörfler

Abstract

The article explores how changed patterns of UN membership affected the prospects for UN Security Council institutional reform. First, we outline a theoretical framework based on path dependency, veto player analysis and social choice theory. Second, we offer calculations of decision probability and show that a higher voting threshold lowers chances of winning coalitions in a non-linear fashion. Third, we explore the specific decision-making procedures for UNSC reform and which actors can block reform. We conclude that not only diverging preferences, but that hurdles established early on combined with membership growth have ‘locked in’ the current institutional arrangement.

Suggested Citation

  • Madeleine O. Hosli & Thomas Dörfler, 2019. "Why is change so slow? Assessing prospects for United Nations Security Council reform," Journal of Economic Policy Reform, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 22(1), pages 35-50, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:jecprf:v:22:y:2019:i:1:p:35-50
    DOI: 10.1080/17487870.2017.1305903
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    Cited by:

    1. Wen Pan & Madeleine O. Hosli & Michaël Lantmeeters, 2023. "Historical institutionalism and policy coordination: origins of the European semester," Evolutionary and Institutional Economics Review, Springer, vol. 20(1), pages 141-167, April.
    2. Francesco Petrone, 2021. "BRICS and Global Governance: Will the Grouping be able to Reform the United Nations Security Council?," International Studies, , vol. 58(3), pages 363-379, July.

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