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Infrastructure implications of a green economy transition in the Western Cape Province of South Africa: A system dynamics modelling approach

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  • Theodore Anthony York
  • Alan Colin Brent
  • Josephine Kaviti Musango
  • Imke Hanlu de Kock

Abstract

In order to meet future goals in reducing the resulting carbon emissions from transport networks, vast investment in the development of a more energy-efficient and sustainable infrastructure is required. This study investigates the infrastructure implications of a green economy transition in the Western Cape Province of South Africa with a particular focus on the transport sector. Utilising a system dynamics modelling approach, the research effort aimed to improve understanding of how technical, economic, political, social, and environmental factors interact, particularly in the context of the uncertainties encountered during this transition. The key findings of the research indicate that investment in a better public transport system, as well as shifting the movement of freight onto the rail network, would deliver long-term positive effects, including a possible carbon emission reduction of up to 17.89%.

Suggested Citation

  • Theodore Anthony York & Alan Colin Brent & Josephine Kaviti Musango & Imke Hanlu de Kock, 2017. "Infrastructure implications of a green economy transition in the Western Cape Province of South Africa: A system dynamics modelling approach," Development Southern Africa, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(5), pages 529-547, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:deveza:v:34:y:2017:i:5:p:529-547
    DOI: 10.1080/0376835X.2017.1358601
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    Cited by:

    1. McGill, Elizabeth & Er, Vanessa & Penney, Tarra & Egan, Matt & White, Martin & Meier, Petra & Whitehead, Margaret & Lock, Karen & Anderson de Cuevas, Rachel & Smith, Richard & Savona, Natalie & Rutter, 2021. "Evaluation of public health interventions from a complex systems perspective: A research methods review," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 272(C).
    2. Judit Oláh & Eszter Krisán & Anna Kiss & Zoltán Lakner & József Popp, 2020. "PRISMA Statement for Reporting Literature Searches in Systematic Reviews of the Bioethanol Sector," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-35, May.
    3. Verônica Ghisolfi & Lóránt Antal Tavasszy & Gonçalo Homem de Almeida Correia & Gisele de Lorena Diniz Chaves & Glaydston Mattos Ribeiro, 2022. "Freight Transport Decarbonization: A Systematic Literature Review of System Dynamics Models," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-30, March.
    4. Langarudi, Saeed P. & Maxwell, Connie M. & Bai, Yining & Hanson, Austin & Fernald, Alexander, 2019. "Does Socioeconomic Feedback Matter for Water Models?," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 35-45.

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