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Modelling the impact of the ‘fast track’ land reform policy on Zimbabwe's maize sector

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  • Tinashe Kapuya
  • Ferdinand H Meyer
  • Johann F Kirsten

Abstract

Zimbabwe has recently gone through a widely criticised land reform process that is argued to be the cause of subdued agricultural production. This paper attempts to present a counterfactual picture of the maize market in Zimbabwe had land reform been managed appropriately. The counterfactual is developed through a partial equilibrium framework in order to quantify the impact of the land reform programme. This, to our knowledge, is the first attempt at applying a partial equilibrium framework to an analysis of the impact of land reform. The results of the post-2000 land reform policy simulation showed that actual total maize output was lower than what could have been produced if it was under a pre-2000 land reform system. The study validates the assertion that land reforms contributed to the contraction of output. These results suggest the need for a well planned and executed land reform process, which can still play an important role in output growth and food security.

Suggested Citation

  • Tinashe Kapuya & Ferdinand H Meyer & Johann F Kirsten, 2013. "Modelling the impact of the ‘fast track’ land reform policy on Zimbabwe's maize sector," Development Southern Africa, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(3), pages 417-436, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:deveza:v:30:y:2013:i:3:p:417-436
    DOI: 10.1080/0376835X.2013.797232
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    1. J Thurlow & Merle Holden, 2002. "The Impact of the Eu‐Sa Free Trade Agreement on Selected Comesa Countries," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 70(2), pages 133-144, March.
    2. van Tongeren, Frank & van Meijl, Hans & Surry, Yves, 2001. "Global models applied to agricultural and trade policies: a review and assessment," Agricultural Economics, Blackwell, vol. 26(2), pages 149-172, November.
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    1. Kassie, Girma T. & Abdulai, Awudu & Greene, William H. & Shiferaw, Bekele & Abate, Tsedeke & Tarekegne, Amsal & Sutcliffe, Chloe, 2017. "Modeling Preference and Willingness to Pay for Drought Tolerance (DT) in Maize in Rural Zimbabwe," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 465-477.

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